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2021 NBA Playoffs - Phoenix Suns @ Denver Nuggets Game 4: Best Betting Picks, Props and Parlay, Sunday June 13, 2021

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
2021 NBA Playoffs - Phoenix Suns @ Denver Nuggets Game 4: Best Betting Picks, Props and Parlay, Sunday June 13, 2021

Things are looking ominous in Colorado as the Phoenix Suns meet the Denver Nuggets in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals, with the Suns within touching distance of a series sweep.

It's Sunday June 13, and, as always, we've simulated tonight's playoff game 10,000 times, determining where the value lies for bettors across the United States.

With NBA betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for tonight's game.

Want even more NBA plays? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our NBA Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.

Just want picks? Sure thing. Visit our Quick Picks section and get the lowdown on the best bets for all pro and college sports.

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Here are our bets for tonight's playoff game โฌโ€โ€

 
โ€Predicted score after 10,000 sims

๐Ÿ“Š Trends

โ—ผ๏ธ The Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these two teams (total set at 222).
โ—ผ๏ธ The Phoenix Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last six games.
โ—ผ๏ธ The Denver Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after they lost the previous home game by double-digits.

 



โœ… Best
Bet

BET: Suns at the moneyline with DraftKings Sportsbook (+10000)

๐Ÿ“ˆ 64% probability

Sorry, Denver fans, it's not looking pretty for your boys who face the humiliation of being swept in front of the hometown crowd. Phoenix have been simply dominant through the first three games, backed by the play of Chris Paul who has shown time and time again that he is the smartest player on the court bar none. Our data model projections have the Suns making light work of Jokic and his supporting cast.

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๐Ÿงจ Best Prop

PLAYER: Michael Porter Jr

BET: UNDER 26.5 points + rebounds + assists with PointsBet (-104)

It's time to fade MPJ. The young up-and-comer is not fully healthy and would no doubt be missing from this game if it was taking place in the regular season. The forward has failed to score more than 15 points in any of the games so far this series and has a habit of fading away in second halves of games. With bare assists totals for much of the year, we're taking the PRA total Under.

๐Ÿ’ฅ BetMGM ๐Ÿ’ฅ

One Game Parlay

๐Ÿ”ฅ Suns ATS
๐Ÿ”ฅ Paul o1.5 Made Threes
๐Ÿ”ฅ Booker 8+ rebounds
๐Ÿ”ฅ Rivers 2+ Threes

๐Ÿ’ฐ +2698 with BetMGM

BetMGM is offering a great bonus for players looking to cash in on this One Game Parlay. It does't even matter if you win! Simply deposit $20 into your account, place your bet, and then wait for the money to come in, regardless of the result! It's free money.

MORE BETTING PICKS:

๐Ÿ€ READ: TODAY'S NBA BETTING PROPS
โšพ READ: TODAY'S MLB BETTING PICKS
๐Ÿ’ READ: TODAY'S NHL BETTING PICKS
๐Ÿ’ฐ READ: TODAY'S SPORTS PARLAY

Ready to join a Sportsbook and start betting online? Weโ€™ve listed the best available Welcome Offers for each legal betting state.

The best offers in your state๐Ÿ‘‡

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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