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Best NBA Player Prop Picks, Bets for Parlays on Saturday May 22, 2021
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
The props are hot! Playoff basketball is here and we can't wait to dive into our prop plays for Saturday.
So how do our player prop picks work exactly?
Well, our predictive analytics model has crunched the numbers ahead of tonight's game, giving us the likely stats projections which we've matched up against the sportsbook lines to find the biggest differential and edge for you to make a play on. While this article contains the best edges that we've found against the books, you can run this exercise yourself by looking in the Pre-Game Predictions tab of the game of your choice in the NBA Bet Hub.
With NBA betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top NBA player prop picks for tonight's games.
Your favorite player not here? Find player projections for every game tonight via our NBA Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.
Don't care for player props and just want picks? Sure thing. Visit our Quick Picks section and get the lowdown on the best bets for all pro and college sports.
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We’ve listed the best available sign-up bonus offers for each legal betting state at the bottom of this article!
It's Saturday, May 22. Here is what the data is telling us for tonight's NBA player props ⏬
Before we get to the props, you first have to know about the Dimers NBA playoffs Free to Play contest!
Each day through the 2021 NBA playoffs, you’ll be given the chance to submit your picks to six daily questions for that day's games. For every one you get right, you will be awarded points to shoot up our Dimers NBA Playoffs Free to Play leaderboard where you will be competing against other members of the Dimers community.
With prizes on offer for a perfect day, the most points overall for the week, and a $500 grand prize for most points overall throughout the Playoffs, there is always something to play for. Click here to sign up!
Heat @ Bucks
PLAYER: Giannis Antetokounmpo
BET: 🔥 OVER 29.5 points with DraftKings Sportsbook (-114)
Okay, it's an easy and obvious choice, but it's the smart play. The 'books are giving us a relatively modest line for the Greek Freak who will no doubt rise to the top in the opening game of this series against the Heat. Our data projections have him down for 32.
MORE: Heat @ Bucks predictions
This may not be an offer you can use on props but it's still absolutely unmissable! Sign up with DraftKings Sportsbook today, then place a $5 bet on any team at the moneyline. If they win, you'll get $200 in free bets!
Celtics @ Nets
PLAYER: Kevin Durant
BET: 🔥 OVER 25.5 points with PointsBet (-106)
One of the biggest differentials we have in our projections compared with the sportsbooks' lines, we've got KD going for 30 against the Celtics in Game 1. At least 26 points should be a breeze for the Nets' forward, even with Kyrie Irving and James Harden - who has taken on more of a facilitator role anyway - in the starting lineup.
MORE: Celtics @ Nets predictions
Trail Blazers @ Nuggets
PLAYER: Kevin Porter Jr
BET: 🔥 UNDER 7.5 rebounds BetMGM (+100)
As a regular contributor to this daily props article, I must say, I am currently immersed in a game of chicken with the sportsbooks over Michael Porter Jr's rebound total. Every time the Nuggets play, I check our data to see how many boards we've got MPJ down for, and then I check the 'books to see what the line is. Every time lately, the line has been 7.5 rebounds, despite one very important note: MICHAEL PORTER JR HAS ONLY HAD 8+ REBOUNDS ONCE OVER HIS PAST 16 GAMES.
So, when the DimersBOT projection data is telling us MPJ is going to get 7 rebounds, and the sportsbooks are giving us even money for him to get under 7.5, you better believe we are riding this one.
To best use this pick, you can't go wrong when signing up to BetMGM where new customers you can cash in even if your bet doesn't win!
Simply deposit $20 into your account, place your bet, and then wait for the money to come in, regardless of the result! It's free money.
MORE: Trail Blazers @ Nuggets predictions
NBA Playoffs Saturday Props Parlay
🔥 Giannis o29.5 points
🔥 KD o25.5 points
🔥 Porter Jr u7.5 rebounds
💰 Parlay with FanDuel Sportsbook (+630)
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💰 READ: TODAY'S PERFECT PARLAY
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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