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Read Article Martin Damm vs. Alex de Minaur prediction, odds, picks for ATP Libema Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Damm vs de Minaur predictions for ATP Libema Open.
Martin Damm will face Alex de Minaur in the round of 16 at the ATP S-Hertogenbosch event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the Damm vs. de Minaur match.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Damm vs. de Minaur prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Damm-de Minaur men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives de Minaur a 77% chance of beating Damm at the ATP Libema Open tournament.
Additionally, de Minaur has a 72% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show de Minaur (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Martin Damm vs. Alex de Minaur odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Damm | de Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +319 | -400 |
| First Set | +220 | -278 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-104) | -3.5 (-130) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Damm vs. de Minaur picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Damm | +319 |
| First Set | de Minaur | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Martin Damm to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Damm vs. de Minaur updates and essential details
The ATP Libema Open match between Martin Damm and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 7:30 AM ET.
- Who: Martin Damm vs. Alex de Minaur
- Date: Wednesday, June 10, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:30 AM ET/4:30AM PT
- Tournament: ATP S-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat Martin Damm at the ATP Libema Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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