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MLB Best Betting Picks and Predictions for Nationals vs. Phillies on Sunday, September 11, 2022
Updated: | First published:
Written by Tone's Takes
Tone's MLB best bet from the Sunday, September 11th, 2022 slate, features a pick from the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies game!
Today's MLB best bets and odds for Nationals vs. Phillies are proudly brought to you by BetMGM Sportsbook, where you can get a free $20 and a risk-free bet up to $1,000 as part of an exclusive offer that you can only find with Dimers. Just click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get in on it.
Before Tone shares his wisdom, check out our below predictions from DimersBOT, our predictive analytics model. It's run over 10,000 simulations of each game from the Sunday, September 11, 2022 slate to get you the most accurate look at what you'll be betting on. These probabilities will continue to update right up until the first pitch, so keep an eye on them and see if you can get yourself some value.
Nationals vs. Phillies Predictions
- 72% chance the Phillies win on the moneyline
- 55% chance the Phillies cover the -1.5 run line
- 55% chance Nationals-Phillies goes Over 8 total runs
For the most up to date live sports betting picks, check out our interactive predictions for Nationals vs. Phillies. It's constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.
Nationals vs. Phillies Best Bets
Sunday, September 4, 2022 - 1:05PM ET
PICK: J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
PICK: J.T. Realmuto 3+ Total Bases (+200)
The Philadelphia Phillies look to sweep the Washington Nationals as the teams conclude their 3 game series today at Citizens Bank Park, making this a good time to get in on our exclusive BetMGM offer ➡️ here ⬅️ where you get $20 free and a risk-free bet up to $1,000 if you're a new customer.
The Phils took the first two games by scores of 5-3 and 8-5 and have jumped ahead of the San Diego Padres into the 2nd National League Wild Card spot.
I have picked on the Nationals pitching staff all week as I've hit ladder total bases plays with Hoskins on Friday night and Harper last night (both homered).
Not to beat a dead horse, but when it's profitable then beat away, I am going to do it again today with Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto. Washington will send Anibal Sanchez to the bump today and J.T. has had success against the right hander.
In his career, Realmuto is 7/14 vs Sanchez with 2 Doubles and 2 Home Runs. In his last 3 home games against the Nats, Realmuto has accumulated base totals of 8, 7 and 6. He has cleared 1.5 total bases in 15 of his last 30 games and has cleared 3+ in 12 of those games.
Sanchez throws Fastball/Sinker/Cutter/Changeup to right handed hitters. Below you will see how Realmuto has hit those pitches this season:
Fastball -.301 AVG/.301 ISO
Sinker - .301 AVG/.086 ISO
Cutter - .375 AVG/.375 ISO
Changeup - .300 AVG/.125 ISO
The power numbers are erratic but he hits Sanhez's pitches very well as evidenced by his +.300 average against all four.
It is a gloomy day in Philadelphia today with rain on and off but they should get this game in.
I'll back Realmuto and ladder his total bases as we look to go 3/3 this weekend betting against the Nationals and their bad pitching staff, so bet J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) and J.T. Realmuto 3+ Total Bases (+200) with BetMGM ➡️ here ⬅️ and claim an awesome new customer bonus while you're at it - including a $20 free bet, just for signing up!
MORE: Dimers' full betting preview for Nationals vs. Phillies
Written by
Tone's Takes Tone is a NHL and MLB expert who regularly posts profitable seasons. A Philadelphia native, Tone enjoys watching his tickets cash while smoking cigars next to his fire pit. Feared by the sportsbooks, Tone is the ultimate bettors buddy.
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