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MLB Best Betting Picks and Predictions for Phillies vs. Braves on Saturday, September 17, 2022
Updated: | First published:
Written by Tone's Takes
Tone is trying to pick out a Saturday MLB winner with his best bets from the Saturday, September 17th, 2022 slate, featuring the Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves.
Today's MLB best bets and odds for Phillies vs. Braves are proudly brought to you by BetMGM Sportsbook, where you can get a free $20 and a risk-free bet up to $1,000 as part of an exclusive offer that you can only find with Dimers. Just click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get in on it.
Phillies vs. Braves Predictions
- 52% chance the Braves win on the money line
- 65% chance the Braves cover the +1.5 run line
- 59% chance Phillies-Braves goes Over 7.5 total runs
For the most up to date live sports betting picks, check out our interactive predictions for Phillies vs. Braves. It's constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.
Phillies vs. Braves Best Bets
Saturday, September 17, 2022 - 7:20PM ET
PICK: Atlanta Braves First 5 Innings Team Total Over 1.5 (-115)
PICK: Auston Riley Over 1.5 Total Bases (+133)
PICK: Ronald Acuna Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
The Atlanta Braves continue their important 3 game series with the Philadelphia Phillies tonight at Truist Park.
Atlanta took Game 1 by a 7-2 score, thanks to a 6 run 8th inning. The win kept the Braves 1 game out of the National League East Division lead as the Mets also won.
The Braves will look to continue their momentum tonight as they face Aaron Nola. The Phillies right hander is having a solid season. Despite a 9-11 record, Nola has an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 0.97.
In his career Nola has struggled in September. In 35 September starts, Nola is 9-14 with a 4.45 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. In 4 starts against the Braves this season he has an ERA of 4.22.
There are numerous Atlanta hitters that have good numbers against Nola, most notably Austin Riley and Ronald Acuna. RIley is 15/36 lifetime against him with 5 Doubles and 3 Home Runs.
The Right Hander is hitting .367 against the Phillies this season, clearing his Total Bases prop in 9 of 13 meetings.
Nola throws 4 pitches to Right handed hitters which are Curveball, Fastball, Sinker, Changeup.
Riley has ISOs of .400/.228/.192/.313 against those pitches this season. Ronald Acuna is 11/32 lifetime against Nola with 3 Doubles and 3 Home Runs.
Acuna, who has dealt with injuries this season, has ISOs of only .162, .135, .129, .120 against Nola's pitches this season but I still like his Total Bases prop as he's shown he can get to Aaron.
I like these 2 Atlanta hitters and the rest of the Braves offense to get to Nola tonight early, so we're betting Atlanta Braves First 5 Innings Team Total Over 1.5 (-115), Auston Riley Over 1.5 Total Bases (+133) and Ronald Acuna Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) with BetMGM ➡️ here ⬅️. Why not claim an awesome new customer bonus while you're at it - including a $20 free bet, just for signing up!?
MORE: Dimers' full betting preview for Phillies vs. Braves
Written by
Tone's Takes Tone is a NHL and MLB expert who regularly posts profitable seasons. A Philadelphia native, Tone enjoys watching his tickets cash while smoking cigars next to his fire pit. Feared by the sportsbooks, Tone is the ultimate bettors buddy.
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