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MLB Best Betting Picks and Predictions for Rockies vs. Padres on Thursday, August 4, 2022
Updated: | First published:
Written by Tone's Takes
Tone looks to stay hot with his MLB best bet from the Thursday, August 4th, 2022 slate featuring the Colorado Rockies and San Diego Padres at Petco Park.
Today's MLB best bets and odds for Rockies vs. Padres are proudly brought to you by BetMGM Sportsbook, where you can get a free $20 and a risk-free bet up to $1,000 as part of an exclusive offer that you can only find with Dimers. Just click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get in on it.
Before Tone shares his wisdom, check out our below predictions from the DimersBOT, our predictive analytics model. It runs 10,000 simulations for each game to get you the most accurate look at what you'll be betting on. These probabilities will continue to update right up until the first pitch, so keep an eye on them and see if you can get yourself some value.
DimersBOT Rockies vs. Padres Predictions
- 69% chance the Padres win on the money line
- No edge either way on the run line
- 53% chance Rockies-Padres goes Over 7.5 total runs
For the most up to date live sports predictions, check out the interactive widget below. It's constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points👇
Rockies vs. Padres Best Bets
Thursday, August 4, 2022 - 4:10 pm ET
PICK: Padres Team Total Over 4.5 (-122)
PICK: Brandon Drury Over 1.5 Total Bases (+140)
The revamped Padres conclude a rare five-game series with the Rockies when the two meet in California this afternoon. San Diego has won the first four games in this set, and the team will be eager to earn a five-game sweep in this spot. That makes this a good time to claim the exclusive BetMGM get $20 free + a risk-free bet up to $1,000 offer, just for signing up with their world-class sportsbook. You can find that offer HERE.
The Padres have won the first four games of this series by a combined score of 29-9. At the deadline, the team also added Brandon Drury, Josh Bell and Juan Soto to an already dangerous offense. This new lineup led San Diego to a 13-run performance last night and we think the run production will continue today against Kyle Freeland.
The Rockies southpaw is 6-7 on the season with a 4.63 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and an OBA of .264. While he has much better numbers on the road — something that is true of most Colorado starters — he has given up 11 earned runs in 17 innings against San Diego this season. The Padres are also 11th in run production against left-handed pitching this year. And behind Freeland is a bullpen that has the fourth-highest ERA in baseball over the last 30 days. With that in mind, bank on San Diego getting at least five runs in the series finale.
We are also going to look at Drury to hit his total bases props in this one, and it's generously priced at +140. Drury is 5 for 10 in his career against Freeland, with a gouble and a home run. He has also crushed left-handed pitching all season, as he is hitting .309 and has an ISO of .361 against them. In his Padres debut, Drury was 1 for 3 with a home run. Look for him to get his looks again tonight, and don't be surprised if he helps you cash in, in a big way. He's in the midst of a career year and his ability to beat up on southpaws is a big part of the reason that San Diego had to have him.
MORE: Dimers' full betting preview for Rockies vs. Padres
Written by
Tone's Takes Tone is a NHL and MLB expert who regularly posts profitable seasons. A Philadelphia native, Tone enjoys watching his tickets cash while smoking cigars next to his fire pit. Feared by the sportsbooks, Tone is the ultimate bettors buddy.
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