NFL Divisional Playoff Round: Most Likely Touchdown Scorers

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Written by Ryan Leaver
NFL Divisional Playoff Round: Most Likely Touchdown Scorers

We're through what was a MASSIVE Wild Card Weekend with six games across Saturday and Sunday and it's time for the Divisional Round with four huge games.

We run over 10,000 simulations for each and every NFL game, with DimersBOT pulling out the probability of each player scoring a touchdown.

We've picked one guy from each team playing this week who looks good to score, with a bet on each of them getting in first and/or anytime the suggested play!

How a TD in ANY game gets you $100 with BetMGM
 

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Rams @ Packers 🏈

Cam Akers πŸ’₯

 

Anytime touchdown: 56.1% probability

First touchdown: 15.7% probability

 

Cam Akers had an extremely impressive playoffs debut last week, posting 175 scrimmage yards in what was the most scrimmage yards in a playoff debut for a rookie. With the Rams top two QBs still under injury clouds, they'll need another big game from Akers if they're going to be any chance of winning this week.

 

Davante Adams πŸ’₯

 

Anytime touchdown: 64.4% probability

First touchdown: 19.8% probability

 

The Rams have the best defensive unit in the league, but we can't see Rodgers not finding his man, Tae Adams, at some point in this clash. At almost 20% chance to score the first one, he looks like a great bet for any prop parlays you're placing this week!

Seven questions all bettors hate and how to answer them!
 

Ravens @ Bills 🏈

Lamar Jackson πŸ’₯

 

Anytime touchdown: 41.8% probability

First touchdown: 8.9% probability

 

It's hard to look past Lamar after last week's game, and after his 136 rushing yards + TD last week, he's the best pick for a Ravens scorer again here against the Bills.

 

Stefon Diggs πŸ’₯

 

Anytime touchdown: 46.4% probability

First touchdown: 10.8% probability

 

Our man Diggsy saluted for us in the opening game of Super Wild Card and we're not moving off him any time soon. The same logic as last week applies, with the Allen-Diggs connection the key to the Bills going all the way this season!

 
Seven questions all bettors hate and how to answer them!
 

Browns @ Chiefs 🏈

Nick Chubb πŸ’₯

 

Anytime touchdown: 53.9% probability

First touchdown: 11.9% probability

 

It was Kareem Hunt that scored two TDs for the Browns in their MASSIVE win over the Steelers, but Chubb was still at his formidable best, putting up 76 rushing yards, 69 receiving yards and a tuddy. He's made for games like this and should get in for six regardless of the final result.

 

Travis Kelce πŸ’₯

 

Anytime touchdown: 66.2% probability

First touchdown: 16.5% probability

 

Both Tyreek and Travis look like good chances to score this weekend but we've opted for Kelce. He's scored in each of his last four games and will be raring to go after the time off the Chiefs have experienced.

 
Seven questions all bettors hate and how to answer them!
 

Bucs @ Saints 🏈

Antonio Brown πŸ’₯

 

Anytime touchdown: 37.8% probability

First touchdown: 7.9% probability

 

The Bucs' TD probabilities are the most evenly spread according to DimersBOT but we like AB to get in this week. He's looking more and more comfortable by the week and TB12 will no doubt be seeking him out often!

 

Alvin Kamara πŸ’₯

 

Anytime touchdown: 67.3% probability

First touchdown: 18.5% probability

 

He left Kamara out of this article last week with concerns about whether he'd make a full recovery from Covid-19 but we'll be sure to never doubt the great man again! He scored six on Christmas Day and quite simply, you'd be silly to not include him in your prop parlays from now until the end of time.

 
Seven questions all bettors hate and how to answer them!
 

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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