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Alexander Zverev vs. Gabriel Diallo prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Zverev vs Diallo predictions for 2026 Australian Open.
Alexander Zverev and Gabriel Diallo will meet in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open on Saturday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Alexander Zverev as the most likely winner of the Zverev vs. Diallo match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Zverev vs. Diallo prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Zverev-Diallo men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Zverev an 87% chance of defeating Diallo in the 2026 Australian Open.
Additionally, Zverev has an 80% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Zverev (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 35.5 games has a 63% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Alexander Zverev vs. Gabriel Diallo odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Zverev | Diallo |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -641 | +540 |
| First Set | -357 | +275 |
| Game Spread | +5.5 (-108) | -5.5 (-126) |
| Total Games | o35.5 (-118) | u35.5 (-116) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Zverev vs. Diallo picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Zverev | -641 |
| First Set | Diallo | -116 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 35.5 total games.
Zverev vs. Diallo updates and essential details
The 2026 Australian Open match between Alexander Zverev and Gabriel Diallo is scheduled to start on Saturday at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Alexander Zverev vs. Gabriel Diallo
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Tournament: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
- Round: First round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Alexander Zverev, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat Gabriel Diallo at the 2026 Australian Open.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Zverev vs. Diallo insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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