MLB Hitter Projections

Find today's MLB home run predictions with data-powered hitter projections for home runs, hits, RBIs, and total bases. See who is most likely to hit a home run today with projections updated daily.

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Projections for . Last update: .
Player
S. Ohtani
LAD
62.0%
29.7%
36.3%
26.0%
SEA vs. LAD
N. Kurtz
ATH
59.4%
25.5%
34.0%
21.7%
BOS vs. ATH
F. Tatis
SD
67.9%
38.8%
35.2%
20.3%
COL vs. SD
C. Raleigh
SEA
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
SEA vs. LAD
K. Schwarber
PHI
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
PHI vs. MIA
K. Tucker
LAD
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
SEA vs. LAD
Y. Alvarez
HOU
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
HOU vs. LAA
J. Adell
LAA
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
HOU vs. LAA
M. Machado
SD
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
COL vs. SD
T. Hernández
LAD
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
SEA vs. LAD
M. Muncy
LAD
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
SEA vs. LAD
E. Suárez
CIN
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
CLE vs. CIN
J. Caminero
TB
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
TEX vs. TB
T. Soderstrom
ATH
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
BOS vs. ATH
J. Merrill
SD
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
COL vs. SD
A. Pages
LAD
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
SEA vs. LAD
B. Rice
NYY
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
NYY vs. CWS
C. Walker
HOU
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
HOU vs. LAA
D. Varsho
TOR
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
TOR vs. WSH
K. Manzardo
CLE
Locked
Locked
Locked
Locked
CLE vs. CIN

MLB player projections are based on the named player being in the starting lineup and do not update for final lineups. Always check a player's status before placing bets or setting DFS lineups.

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Who will hit a home run today?

How do you know if today's batter will actually get a hit, let alone go deep?

Matchups shift, lineups change, and surface stats only tell part of the story.

That's where our data-powered hitter projections step to the plate.

Our model simulates every MLB game thousands of times to produce today's MLB home run predictions, along with projections for hits, RBIs, and total bases.

Starting pitchers change every game, while lineups, weather, and ballpark conditions can all influence offensive production. Our projections account for those variables to help identify who is most likely to hit a home run today.

With Dimers, you're working from information grounded in the numbers, not guesswork—so you can make more confident betting, fantasy, and DFS decisions, swing by swing.

How our MLB hitter projections work

At Dimers, every MLB game is simulated thousands of times to model how it could play out, plate appearance by plate appearance.

Our hitter projections combine a wide range of factors that influence offensive performance, including:

  • Starting pitcher matchups: Every game features a different opposing starter, creating new opportunities for hitters each day.
  • Lineup position: Batters higher in the order receive more plate appearances and run-producing opportunities.
  • Power profile: Exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and other underlying metrics help shape our home run predictions.
  • Ballpark effects: Park dimensions and run environments influence home run and extra-base hit potential.
  • Weather conditions: Wind, temperature, and other conditions can meaningfully affect hitting outcomes.
  • Bullpen strength: Relief pitching quality is factored into each hitter's expected performance after the starting pitcher exits.

The result is a comprehensive projection for every hitter, updated daily as lineups and conditions change.

What's included in our MLB hitter projections?

Every hitter projection includes forecasts across the offensive categories that matter most for betting, fantasy baseball, and DFS. 

  • Home Runs: See which hitters are most likely to leave the yard today based on matchup, power profile, and ballpark conditions.
  • Hits: Projected hits based on contact quality, matchup, and expected plate appearances.
  • RBIs: Projected run production based on lineup context and offensive opportunity.
  • Total Bases: Projected overall hitting output by combining singles, doubles, triples, and home runs.

All projections are built from thousands of simulations and updated for each matchup.

Use these numbers to evaluate today's MLB home run predictions, build DFS lineups, or track potential home run leaders across the slate.

Today's MLB home run predictions 

Looking for who will hit a home run today? Our home run predictor highlights the hitters most likely to go yard, based on matchup data, power profiles, and ballpark conditions.

By comparing outcomes across thousands of simulations, you can identify home run predictions today and which players are trending toward the top of the home run leaderboard.

Why use our MLB hitter projections?

Whether you're betting, building DFS lineups, or playing fantasy baseball, daily hitter projections provide a more complete picture than traditional statistics alone.

  • MLB hitter prop betting: Compare projected performance with sportsbook lines to help identify potential value on home runs today, total bases, hits, and RBIs.
  • Fantasy baseball and DFS: Identify both consistent producers and high-upside power hitters before setting your lineup.
  • Daily analysis: Quickly see who is most likely to make an impact offensively, whether that's hitting a home run, collecting multiple hits, or driving in runs.

What makes our home run predictions different?

  • Built in-house: Every projection comes from Dimers' proprietary models, developed and maintained internally.
  • Updated throughout the day: Projections adjust as starting lineups, weather, injuries, and other factors change.
  • Context-driven: Every prediction reflects the complete matchup, including opposing pitchers, bullpen strength, park factors, and player tendencies.

Start exploring hitter projections

  • Step 1 — Explore the projections table: View projected home runs today, hits, and RBIs for players in every matchup on today's slate.
  • Step 2 — Filter and focus: Sort by team, matchup, or stat to isolate your top targets.
  • Step 3 — Export and build: Download the data in CSV format to use in your DFS optimizer or custom betting models.

Search, filter, and export by hitter, team, or matchup to find the insights that matter—whether you're tracking projected home runs today, identifying home run leaders, or evaluating overall hitting performance.

Unlock every MLB hitter projection with Dimers Pro

Want to go beyond the top hitters?

With a free account, you’ll only see a small sample of our MLB hitter projections. Dimers Pro provides you with access to the full dataset, along with tools to explore it properly.

  • View every hitter projection—not just a limited selection.
  • Search and filter easily—by team, player, or market.
  • Compare projections to the market—to help surface potential value.
  • Stay up-to-date—with adjustments for lineups, injuries, and weather.

Join Dimers Pro now for a complete view of the board, powered by real-time data.

Start your free 3-day trial today — cancel anytime.

Everything you need to make strategic MLB bets

Hitter projections are one part of a broader approach. Dimers provides a full set of tools to support your decisions: 

Responsible gambling for MLB

Our projections were built so you can bet confidently, not recklessly. It's crucial to always bet within your means: set wager limits with your sportsbooks and always stay in control. If you're struggling with gambling, please see our resources on responsible gambling.

Your questions answered

Who's likely to hit a home run today?

You can see today's latest hitter projections—including home runs—in the table above.

Dimers' projections act as a free home run predictor, simulating each game thousands of times to estimate which hitters are most likely to go deep.

Generally, power hitters in strong matchups—facing pitchers who allow hard contact or playing in hitter-friendly parks—have the highest probability.