Best NFL Player Props Today

Best NFL player props for Sunday and Monday Night Football

The board above covers the full NFL slate, including the standalone night games. Any Thursday Night Football, Sunday Night Football, or Monday Night Football prop that clears our value threshold appears alongside the Sunday props, with its edge and probability.

Night-game props can be worth checking again close to kickoff. Inactives are confirmed around 90 minutes before the game, and sportsbook lines can move as that information reaches the market.

Filter the board to tonight’s game for the latest player prop projections, prices, and edges.

Today's best NFL player props

Every round of the NFL features hundreds of player props. There's no shortage of passing, rushing, receiving, and touchdown markets. Finding one to bet is a breeze. Finding one where the price offers value is harder.

That's what our NFL player props does differently. We look for the price. Using data modeling and simulation, we project each player's performance, work out how often that clears the odds, and then compare our probability with the probability baked into the price. 

When our number sits meaningfully higher, the prop becomes a candidate for our best NFL props. That gap is the edge, so you can clearly see exactly how much value a bet offers.

Our NFL player props update through the week as new information lands. Inactives, practice reports, depth-chart changes, and sportsbook line movement all feed back into the projections and can change what qualifies.

No player prop is guaranteed to win. One catch, one goal-line carry, or one early blowout can settle a prop regardless of how the numbers looked beforehand. The point is to bet props where the price is in your favor often enough to matter across a season.

What are NFL player props?

An NFL player prop is a bet on how an individual player will perform in a game. Instead of betting on the winner, point spread, or total score, you're betting on a specific outcome or statistic for that player.

Common NFL player props include:

• Passing yards, completions, attempts, and passing touchdowns (quarterbacks).
• Rushing yards and rushing attempts (running backs, quarterbacks, and other rushers).
• Receptions and receiving yards (wide receivers, tight ends, and running backs).
• Anytime, first, and multiple touchdown scorers (eligible offensive players and defenses/special teams).

Most player props are offered as over/under bets. For example, a sportsbook might set a quarterback's passing yards at 245.5. You can bet the over if you think he'll finish with 246 or more, or the under if you think he'll finish with 245 or fewer. Touchdown scorer props work differently: you’re simply betting whether a player scores, with the odds reflecting the sportsbook's assessment of how likely that is.

One thing that makes player props different from game bets is how much they depend on the game script. A team that falls behind by three scores is likely to throw more and run less, which can boost passing and receiving opportunities while cutting into rushing volume. That's why our projections account for the expected game script when estimating how a player is likely to perform.

If you’re completely new to sports betting, learn the basics in our how to bet on the NFL guide.

What NFL prop markets does Dimers cover?

Our NFL player props model covers 12 markets across four categories:

• Passing: Passing yards, completions, attempts, and touchdowns
• Rushing: Rushing yards and attempts
• Receiving: Receptions and receiving yards
• Touchdowns: Anytime, first, 2+ and 3+ touchdown scorers

The props available for a given player depend on the matchup and sportsbook. We only show a market when we have enough information to build a meaningful projection and a sportsbook is offering the prop.

Want to combine several props into one ticket? Our NFL Parlay Picker builds multi-leg parlays and shows the odds and projected chance of the full parlay.

How Dimers finds the best NFL player props

A prop is only worth betting if you have a number to compare the price against. Building that number is where most of the work happens.

• Market-specific models: We model each of our prop markets separately, allowing the projections to account for the factors that matter most to each type of bet.
• Multiple models, combined: We use multiple models within each market and combine their predictions into a single projection. This helps produce a more robust estimate than relying on any one model alone.
• Player and game context: The projections consider player usage, recent and historical performance, injuries and availability, opponent strength, coaching tendencies, and the expected game environment. We also incorporate advanced metrics and play-by-play data.
• From projection to probability: We run simulations of the upcoming game to estimate how often a player finishes over or under the specific line being offered. That gives us the probability shown on the board.
• Probability meets price: We compare our projected probability with the probability implied by the sportsbook's odds. When our number is higher, the difference is the edge. Props that clear our value threshold make the board.
• Updated throughout the week: Projections change as player availability, team news, game conditions, and sportsbook prices change. Our board updates accordingly.

Learn more about Dimers’ data modeling approach to sports betting.

Why trust our NFL player props model?

Our NFL player props model is built to give you a consistent way to compare player projections with the prices available at sportsbooks. Rather than relying on a single prediction or a general opinion about a player, we use market-specific projections to identify where the numbers may offer value.

The model covers 12 NFL player prop markets, with projections built around the factors that influence each market. Those projections are then compared with the actual lines and prices being offered, so the edge reflects a bet you can actually place.

The numbers also aren't static. NFL player props can change quickly as injuries, inactives, lineup news, game conditions, and sportsbook prices move. Our projections and board are updated throughout the week to reflect those changes.

No model gets individual player performances right every time. Player props are inherently high-variance bets, and even a strong projection can lose on any given play or game. The aim is not to predict every outcome correctly but to identify prices where the numbers are consistently in your favor over time.

Get every NFL player prop and more with Dimers Pro

Three NFL player props are free every day. Dimers Pro opens the full board.

Join Dimers Pro for every +EV prop on the slate, plus:

• The complete Best Props board: All qualifying props across passing, rushing, receiving, and touchdown markets, not just the free shortlist.
• Advanced filters: Sort and filter props by player, team, market, game, and projected edge.
• Complete player projections: Our full set of NFL Player Projections behind the props, for building your own angles on markets we do not list.

You also get full access to the complete Dimers experience, including more tools for more sports, built around finding long-term betting value: 

• Real-time research tools: Available on desktop and in the Dimers app.
• Dimebot AI assistant: Instant answers powered by Dimers' data.
• Private Discord: Connect with other bettors and Dimers experts.
• 15,000+ events annually: Picks, props, parlays, and more across major sports.

Score six months of Dimers Pro for $99.99 with our Football Pass. 

Your subscription covers the entire NFL and college football seasons and also includes access to our tools and picks across other major sports, including MLB and NBA.

Lock in six months for $99.99 now—cancel or pause anytime.

Explore our full suite of NFL betting tools

Player props are one piece of the picture. Dimers offers a full lineup of tools to help you bet with better information all season long:

• NFL Player Projections: Full NFL player stats projections for building your own props.
• NFL Predictions: Daily NFL probabilities and picks for every game on the slate.
• NFL Best Bets: Top daily +EV NFL plays based on probability and price.
• NFL Parlays: Generate automatic NFL parlays with high-upside multi-legs.
• NFL Odds: Compare all NFL lines from major sportsbooks with instant odds shopping.
• NFL Trends: Track NFL player hot and cold streaks to help with prop betting.
• NFL Futures: Probabilities and odds for long-term NFL outright bets.
• NFL News: Daily NFL match previews and exclusive picks from our experts.

Get unlimited access to all our betting tools by joining Dimers Pro.

Responsible gambling

Elite coaches know when to punt, and disciplined bettors know when to walk away. Props are a high-variance market, which makes limits set in advance more useful here than almost anywhere else on the board. Set deposit and wager limits, and know the risks going in. If you or someone close to you is facing gambling challenges, our responsible gambling resources can help.