Cowboys vs. Eagles prediction: Why Dallas is favored to win MNF Week 7 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 67.7% win probability for the Cowboys at Lincoln Financial Field.

The Dallas Cowboys take on the Philadelphia Eagles in NFL action.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL prediction for Monday, October 26, 2026.

The Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys will meet in Week 7 of the NFL season at Lincoln Financial Field on Monday, with kickoff at 8:15 PM ET.

Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Cowboys as the most likely winner in this Cowboys vs. Eagles prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Cowboys vs. Eagles prediction and odds

Since our Cowboys-Eagles predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Monday's NFL matchup between the Cowboys and Eagles, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Cowboys a 67.7% chance of beating the Eagles in Week 7 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Cowboys winning 23-18.

Key factors favoring the Cowboys:

  • Eagles QB situation
  • Cowboys offense
  • Eagles offense

According to our model, the Cowboys (-4.5) have a 51.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has a 51.8% chance of staying under.

Key factors making the under more likely are::

  • QB ratings
  • Playing conditions
 

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 7 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Cowboys -4.5 (+104) / Eagles +4.5 (-106)
  • Moneyline: Cowboys -203, Eagles +194
  • Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-108/+106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Cowboys -4.5 @ 49¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Cowboys @ 67¢ via Novig
  • Total: Under 43.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 43.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Cowboys vs. Eagles TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Cowboys vs. Eagles?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Javonte Williams is most likely to score an anytime TD in Cowboys vs. Eagles.

Our projections give Williams a 62.3% chance of scoring a TD at Lincoln Financial Field, while the running back is an 18.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Dallas Cowboys

  • Javonte Williams (RB): 62.3% probability
  • CeeDee Lamb (WR): 38.0%
  • George Pickens (WR): 26.9%
  • Jake Ferguson (TE): 25.1%
  • Ryan Flournoy (WR): 16.5%

Philadelphia Eagles

  • Saquon Barkley (RB): 39.9% prob.
  • Dallas Goedert (TE): 35.4%
  • Darius Cooper (WR): 28.4%
  • Makai Lemon (WR): 20.2%
  • Dameon Pierce (RB): 17.2%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Dallas Cowboys

  • Javonte Williams (RB): 18.5% prob.
  • CeeDee Lamb (WR): 9.1%
  • George Pickens (WR): 6.0%
  • Jake Ferguson (TE): 5.5%
  • Ryan Flournoy (WR): 3.4%

Philadelphia Eagles

  • Saquon Barkley (RB): 9.3% prob.
  • Dallas Goedert (TE): 8.0%
  • Darius Cooper (WR): 6.1%
  • Makai Lemon (WR): 4.1%
  • Dameon Pierce (RB): 3.5%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Cowboys and Eagles. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 7 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is projected to have a big game with 270 passing yards. The Eagles' Tanner McKee is expected to throw for 214 yards.

Cowboys rushing

  • Javonte Williams: 71 yds
  • Tyler Goodson: 16 yds
  • Dak Prescott: 13 yds

Eagles rushing

  • Saquon Barkley: 70 yds
  • Dameon Pierce: 25 yds
  • Tanner McKee: 9 yds

Cowboys receiving

  • CeeDee Lamb: 84 yds
  • George Pickens: 67 yds
  • Ryan Flournoy: 40 yds
  • Jake Ferguson: 25 yds
  • Javonte Williams: 16 yds

Eagles receiving

  • Dallas Goedert: 50 yds
  • Darius Cooper: 43 yds
  • Makai Lemon: 43 yds
  • Elijah Moore: 20 yds
  • Saquon Barkley: 18 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 7 action between the Eagles and Cowboys at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled to start at 8:15 PM ET.

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Make the most of Dimers' Cowboys vs. Eagles predictions by exploring the below DraftKings Sportsbook offer:


Conclusion

We predict the Cowboys, with a 67.7% win probability, will likely beat the Eagles in Week 7 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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