Brewers vs. Rays Game 5 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. Rays MLB World Series game on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Brewers
Jacob Misiorowski 1-0, 2.70 ERA
4
1
Tropicana Field
Rays
Drew Rasmussen 2-0, 2.19 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Brewers
0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 8 2
Rays
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brewers
    100%
  • Rays
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Richie Palacios grounds out to second base, Brice Turang to Jake Bauers.
Quick Box Score
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Chourio LF4010003.2500.500
2 J. Bauers 1B4000002.0000.000
3 C. Yelich DH3100000.0000.250
4 W. Contreras C4111000.2500.750
5 B. Turang 2B4120001.5001.250
6 S. Frelick RF3000001.0000.250
7 C. Pratt SS3122000.6671.167
8 G. Mitchell CF3010012.3330.833
9 D. Hamilton 3B4011001.2500.500
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH3000011.0000.250
2 J. Aranda 1B4000001.0000.000
3 J. Caminero 3B4010001.2500.500
4 L. Hicks C3110000.3331.167
5 J. DeLuca CF4000003.0000.000
6 C. Simpson LF4021000.5001.250
7 R. Palacios 2B2000000.0000.000
8 V. Mesa RF1000000.0000.000
9 T. Walls SS3000000.0000.000

Brewers vs. Rays prediction & analysis

Game 5 overview: MLB World Series

  • Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:00PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field
  • Probable pitchers: Jacob Misiorowski (Brewers), Drew Rasmussen (Rays)

Current betting odds

  • Run line: Brewers (-1.5, +138), Rays (+1.5, -141)
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 runs (+111/-113)
  • Moneyline: Brewers -130, Rays +127

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Brewers: 53.1%
  • Rays: 46.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 53.1%, while the Rays have a win probability of 46.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Wednesday.

Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Brewers vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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