World Series Game 1 player props today: Friday's best props include Jacob Misiorowski [10/23/2026]

Jacob Misiorowski over 0.5 earned runs (-197)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 73.6%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Brewers' Jacob Misiorowski over 0.5 earned runs. A probability of 73.6% gives this play an edge of 7.2% at -197 odds.

Jacob Misiorowski under 16.5 outs recorded (-118)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 57.5%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

Jacob Misiorowski’s outs recorded prop shows a 57.5% probability and an 3.4% edge at -118 odds, according to our model.

Victor Mesa Jr. over 0.5 bases (-105)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 53.6%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Victor Mesa Jr. over 0.5 bases, with simulations showing a 53.6% probability and a 2.4% edge at -105.

Victor Mesa Jr. to get a hit (-105)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 53.6%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Victor Mesa Jr. to get a hit, with a 53.6% probability and an edge of 2.4% at -105 odds.

Richie Palacios to get a hit (+106)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 52.2%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Richie Palacios to get a hit for Rays, showing an edge of 3.6% at +106 odds.

Taylor Walls to get a hit (+125)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 50.4%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

Taylor Walls’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 5.9% at +125 odds, supported by a 50.4% probability according to our model.

Junior Caminero to get an RBI (+233)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 32.0%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Junior Caminero to get an RBI for Rays, with a 32.0% probability and a 2.0% edge at +233 odds.

Junior Caminero over 2.5 bases (+350)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 28.8%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Junior Caminero over 2.5 bases, supported by a 28.8% probability at +350 odds and an edge of 6.6%.

Jonathan Aranda to get an RBI (+338)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 25.6%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

A 2.7% edge on the to get an RBI line makes Jonathan Aranda a value play in Rays vs. Brewers, supported by a 25.6% probability at +338 odds.

David Hamilton over 0.5 to steal a base (+375)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 24.0%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on David Hamilton over 0.5 to steal a base here, with a 24.0% probability and 3.0% edge at +375 odds.

MLB World Series player prop summary: Game 1, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:08AM ET:

Conclusion

For October 23, 2026, our MLB postseason prop bets feature players such as Jacob Misiorowski, Victor Mesa Jr. and Richie Palacios. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.