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Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Jasmine Paolini prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Sasnovich vs Paolini predictions for Australian Open 2026.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Jasmine Paolini will lock horns in the first round of the Australian Open 2026 on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jasmine Paolini as the most likely winner of the Sasnovich vs. Paolini match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sasnovich vs. Paolini prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Sasnovich-Paolini women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Paolini a 72% chance of defeating Sasnovich in the Australian Open 2026.
Additionally, Paolini has a 68% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sasnovich (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Jasmine Paolini odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sasnovich | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +240 | -257 |
| First Set | +162 | -200 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-112) | +4.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-110) | u21.5 (-130) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sasnovich vs. Paolini picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Paolini | -257 |
| First Set | Paolini | -130 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
Sasnovich vs. Paolini updates and essential details
The Australian Open 2026 match between Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Jasmine Paolini is scheduled to start on Saturday at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Jasmine Paolini
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Tournament: Australian Open Women's Singles 2026
- Round: First round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Jasmine Paolini, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Aliaksandra Sasnovich at the Australian Open 2026.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sasnovich vs. Paolini insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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