Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga prediction, odds, picks for ATP Rio Open 2026

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Roman Andres Burruchaga will lock horns in the round of 32 of the ATP Rio Open event on Tuesday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Camilo Ugo Carabelli as the most likely winner of the Ugo Carabelli vs. Burruchaga match.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Ugo Carabelli vs. Burruchaga prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Ugo Carabelli-Burruchaga men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Ugo Carabelli a 55% chance of beating Burruchaga at the ATP Rio Open tournament.

Additionally, Ugo Carabelli has a 55% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -1.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the over 21.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Ugo Carabelli vs. Burruchaga picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Roman Burruchaga to win.

Although Burruchaga is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Ugo Carabelli vs. Burruchaga updates and essential details

The ATP Rio Open match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Roman Andres Burruchaga is scheduled to commence on Tuesday at 2:30 PM ET.

• Who: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga
• Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Camilo Ugo Carabelli, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Roman Burruchaga at the ATP Rio Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ugo Carabelli vs. Burruchaga insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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