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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction, odds, picks for ATP World Tour Finals 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Alcaraz vs Auger-Aliassime predictions for ATP World Tour Finals 2025.
Carlos Alcaraz and Felix Auger-Aliassime will lock horns in the semifinals of the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 event on Saturday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner of the Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime prediction: Who will win and advance to the final?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Alcaraz-Auger-Aliassime men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Alcaraz an 80% chance of defeating Auger-Aliassime at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 tournament.
Additionally, Alcaraz has a 75% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Alcaraz (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Alcaraz | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -469 | +370 |
| First Set | -455 | +300 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (+100) | -3.5 (-132) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-105) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auger-Aliassime | +370 |
| First Set | Auger-Aliassime | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Felix Auger-Aliassime to win the first set.
Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime updates and essential details
The ATP World Tour Finals 2025 match between Carlos Alcaraz and Felix Auger-Aliassime is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 2:30PM ET.
- Who: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
- Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
- Approx. Time: 2:30PM ET/11:30AM PT
- Tournament: ATP World Tour Finals Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Semifinals
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Felix Auger-Aliassime at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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