Croatia vs. Ghana prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Get Croatia vs Ghana predictions for World Cup 2026 Saturday.

Croatia will take on Ghana in Group L of the World Cup 2026 at Lincoln Financial Field on Saturday, beginning at 5:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model predicts Croatia as the most likely winner of the Croatia vs. Ghana game.
Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Croatia vs. Ghana prediction: Who will win?
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 55.9% chance of Croatia winning, an 18.9% chance for Ghana, and a 25.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57.5% chance of staying under, with a 56.2% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Croatia holds a 35.7% probability to win without conceding, with Ghana given a 11.3% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Croatia to win or draw at 81.1%.
Ghana vs. Croatia odds
We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Croatia | Ghana | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -115 | +420 | +215 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +142 | -170 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Croatia vs. Ghana picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Croatia @ -115 via BetMGM
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +142 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: Croatia @ +170 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Croatia or Ghana @ -280 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -125 via DraftKings
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Croatia to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge provided on Croatia's odds also provide the best value for bettors.
Croatia vs. Ghana: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Croatia win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Croatia 1-0 Ghana | 14.6% |
| Croatia 1-1 Ghana | 11.7% |
| Croatia 2-0 Ghana | 11.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 43.8% chance of both Croatia and Ghana finding the net and a 56.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Croatia vs. Ghana player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Saturday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Croatia-Ghana:
Croatia
- Ante Budimir: 23.6% probability
- Andrej Kramaric: 20.9% probability
- Martin Baturina: 15.3% probability
- Ivan Perisic: 14.1% probability
- Marco Pasalic: 12.7% probability
Ghana
- Jordan Ayew: 14.6% probability
- Antoine Semenyo: 12.7% probability
- Inaki Williams: 10.8% probability
- Thomas Partey: 7.1% probability
- Caleb Yirenkyi: 5.8% probability
Croatia vs. Ghana game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's FIFA World Cup matchup between Croatia and Ghana at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled to start at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Croatia vs. Ghana
- Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Croatia has a 55.9% win probability on Saturday, Ghana has an 18.9% win probability, and there is a 25.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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