Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Sebastian Baez prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will take on Sebastian Baez in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open on Monday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard as the most likely winner of the Mpetshi Perricard vs. Baez match.

This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Mpetshi Perricard vs. Baez prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Mpetshi Perricard-Baez men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Mpetshi Perricard a 58% chance of winning against Baez in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Mpetshi Perricard has a 57% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mpetshi Perricard (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 43.5 games has a 67% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Sebastian Baez odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mpetshi Perricard vs. Baez picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: