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Jannik Sinner vs. Alex de Minaur prediction, odds, picks for ATP World Tour Finals 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Sinner vs de Minaur predictions for ATP World Tour Finals 2025.
Jannik Sinner and Alex de Minaur will meet in the semifinals of the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 event on Saturday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jannik Sinner as the most likely winner of the Sinner vs. de Minaur match.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sinner vs. de Minaur prediction: Who will win and advance to the final?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Sinner-de Minaur men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Sinner a 90% chance of beating de Minaur at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 tournament.
Additionally, Sinner has an 84% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show de Minaur (+6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 20.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Jannik Sinner vs. Alex de Minaur odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sinner | de Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -1316 | +1000 |
| First Set | -833 | +450 |
| Game Spread | +6.5 (-220) | -6.5 (+140) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (+100) | u20.5 (-150) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sinner vs. de Minaur picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | de Minaur | +1000 |
| First Set | de Minaur | -150 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is *Alex de Minaur to win.
Sinner vs. de Minaur updates and essential details
The ATP World Tour Finals 2025 match between Jannik Sinner and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 8:30AM ET.
- Who: Jannik Sinner vs. Alex de Minaur
- Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
- Approx. Time: 8:30AM ET/5:30AM PT
- Tournament: ATP World Tour Finals Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Semifinals
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
We predict Jannik Sinner, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat Alex de Minaur at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sinner vs. de Minaur insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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