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Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Luciano Darderi prediction, odds, picks for ATP Rio Open 2026
Get Cerundolo vs Darderi predictions for ATP Rio Open.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi are scheduled to meet in the round of 32 of the ATP Rio Open event on Tuesday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Luciano Darderi as the most likely winner of the Cerundolo vs. Darderi match.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Cerundolo vs. Darderi prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Cerundolo-Darderi men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Darderi a 68% chance of winning against Cerundolo at the ATP Rio Open tournament.
Additionally, Darderi has a 64% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Cerundolo (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over/under of 21.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Luciano Darderi odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +220 | -283 |
| First Set | +175 | -227 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (-160) | -4.5 (+100) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-105) | u21.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cerundolo vs. Darderi picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cerundolo | +220 |
| First Set | Darderi | -105 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Juan Cerundolo to win.
Although Cerundolo is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cerundolo vs. Darderi updates and essential details
The ATP Rio Open match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Luciano Darderi
- Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
- Approx. Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Luciano Darderi, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Juan Cerundolo at the ATP Rio Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cerundolo vs. Darderi insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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