Karolina Pliskova vs. Sloane Stephens prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026

Karolina Pliskova and Sloane Stephens are scheduled to meet in the first round of the Australian Open 2026 on Monday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Sloane Stephens as the most likely winner of the Pliskova vs. Stephens match.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pliskova vs. Stephens prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Pliskova-Stephens women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Stephens a 66% chance of defeating Pliskova in the Australian Open 2026.

Additionally, Stephens has a 63% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -3.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the over 20.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Karolina Pliskova vs. Sloane Stephens odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pliskova vs. Stephens picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: