Matteo Berrettini vs. Dusan Lajovic prediction, odds, picks for ATP Rio Open 2026

Matteo Berrettini will take on Dusan Lajovic in the round of 16 at the ATP Rio de Janeiro event on Thursday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Matteo Berrettini as the most likely winner of the Berrettini vs. Lajovic match.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Berrettini vs. Lajovic prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Berrettini-Lajovic men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Berrettini a 76% chance of defeating Lajovic at the ATP Rio Open tournament.

Additionally, Berrettini has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Berrettini (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Matteo Berrettini vs. Dusan Lajovic odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Berrettini vs. Lajovic picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Berrettini vs. Lajovic updates and essential details

The ATP Rio Open match between Matteo Berrettini and Dusan Lajovic is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Matteo Berrettini vs. Dusan Lajovic
• Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Matteo Berrettini, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Dusan Lajovic at the ATP Rio Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Berrettini vs. Lajovic insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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