Home run predictions for Playoffs Thursday include Shohei Ohtani, Bryce Harper [10/9/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Thursday, October 9, 2025, are here—with Shohei Ohtani topping the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Thursday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which highlight the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for October 9, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)	24.5%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)	22.5%
Bryce Harper (Phillies)	17.5%
Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers)	🔒
Andy Pages (Dodgers)	🔒
Will Smith (Dodgers)	🔒
Mookie Betts (Dodgers)	🔒
Freddie Freeman (Dodgers)	🔒
Max Kepler (Phillies)	🔒
Enrique Hernandez (Dodgers)	🔒

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.5% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (22.5%) and Bryce Harper (17.5%).

Teoscar Hernandez and Andy Pages are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Thursday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Thursday's playoffs home run picks [10/9/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Andy Pages (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 16.2%
• Odds: +730
• Edge: 4.1%
• Game: Phillies vs. Dodgers (6:08PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Cristopher Sánchez

Ranked as one of the top three most likely players in today's home run predictions, Los Angeles slugger Andy Pages offers standout value at +730 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing an edge of 4.1%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Cristopher Sánchez in tonight's Phillies-Dodgers matchup, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Pages has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Thursday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 10 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB Postseason schedule for today [Thursday, October 9, 2025]

• Phillies vs. Dodgers (6:08PM ET, Thursday)

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Conclusion

For October 9, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Andy Pages who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 4.1% edge at +730 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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