Rebecca Sramkova vs. Jelena Ostapenko prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026

Rebecca Sramkova will face Jelena Ostapenko in the first round of the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026 on Monday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Jelena Ostapenko as the most likely winner of the Sramkova vs. Ostapenko match.

This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Sramkova vs. Ostapenko prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Sramkova-Ostapenko women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Ostapenko a 51% chance of beating Sramkova in the Australian Open 2026.

Additionally, Ostapenko has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sramkova (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Rebecca Sramkova vs. Jelena Ostapenko odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sramkova vs. Ostapenko picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: