Sebastian Korda vs. Mackenzie McDonald prediction, odds, picks for ATP Delray Beach Open 2026

Sebastian Korda will take on Mackenzie McDonald in the round of 32 at the ATP Delray Beach event on Tuesday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Sebastian Korda as the most likely winner of the Korda vs. McDonald match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Korda vs. McDonald prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Korda-McDonald men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Korda a 79% chance of winning against McDonald at the ATP Delray Beach Open tournament.

Additionally, Korda has a 75% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -4.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 22.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Sebastian Korda vs. Mackenzie McDonald odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Korda vs. McDonald picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Korda vs. McDonald updates and essential details

The ATP Delray Beach Open match between Sebastian Korda and Mackenzie McDonald is scheduled to begin on Tuesday at 1:25 PM ET.

• Who: Sebastian Korda vs. Mackenzie McDonald
• Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:25 PM ET/10:25AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Delray Beach, USA Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Sebastian Korda, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat Mackenzie McDonald at the ATP Delray Beach Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Korda vs. McDonald insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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