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Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Karen Khachanov prediction, odds, picks for ATP Doha 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Mochizuki vs Khachanov predictions for ATP Doha.
Shintaro Mochizuki will square off with Karen Khachanov in the round of 32 at the ATP Doha event on Tuesday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Karen Khachanov as the most likely winner of the Mochizuki vs. Khachanov match.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Mochizuki vs. Khachanov prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Mochizuki-Khachanov men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Khachanov an 83% chance of beating Mochizuki at the ATP Doha tournament.
Additionally, Khachanov has a 76% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mochizuki (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 19.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Karen Khachanov odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mochizuki | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +580 | -833 |
| First Set | +333 | -455 |
| Game Spread | +5.5 (-118) | -5.5 (-112) |
| Total Games | o19.5 (-118) | u19.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mochizuki vs. Khachanov picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mochizuki | +580 |
| First Set | Khachanov | -118 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Shintaro Mochizuki to win.
Although Mochizuki is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mochizuki vs. Khachanov updates and essential details
The ATP Doha match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Karen Khachanov is scheduled to commence on Tuesday at 7:00 AM ET.
- Who: Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Karen Khachanov
- Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:00 AM ET/4:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Doha, Qatar Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Karen Khachanov, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat Shintaro Mochizuki at the ATP Doha tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mochizuki vs. Khachanov insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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