Zhizhen Zhang vs. Roberto Carballes Baena prediction, odds, picks for ATP Doha 2026

Zhizhen Zhang will take on Roberto Carballes Baena in the round of 32 at the ATP Doha event on Tuesday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Zhizhen Zhang as the most likely winner of the Zhang vs. Carballes Baena match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Zhang vs. Carballes Baena prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Zhang-Carballes Baena men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Zhang a 57% chance of defeating Carballes Baena at the ATP Doha tournament.

Additionally, Zhang has a 56% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Zhang (-0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Zhizhen Zhang vs. Roberto Carballes Baena odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Zhang vs. Carballes Baena picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Zhang vs. Carballes Baena updates and essential details

The ATP Doha match between Zhizhen Zhang and Roberto Carballes Baena is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET.

• Who: Zhizhen Zhang vs. Roberto Carballes Baena
• Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Doha, Qatar Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Zhizhen Zhang, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Roberto Carballes Baena at the ATP Doha tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Zhang vs. Carballes Baena insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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