Alaves vs. Barcelona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Barcelona at the La Liga on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Barcelona
0
1
May 13, 7:30PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
May 13, 7:30PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
BarcelonaFCB
I. Diabate (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
FCB
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Yellow Card
J. Cancelo (Barcelona) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: T. Marques replaces M. Bernal
81'
Yellow Card
A. Rebbach (Alaves) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces V. Parada
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: J. Cancelo replaces A. Balde
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces I. Diabate
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: P. Ibanez replaces D. Suarez
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: F. Torres replaces R. Bardghji
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: X. Espart replaces P. Cubarsi
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Pedri replaces M. Casado
46'
Yellow Card
M. Rashford (Barcelona) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by I. Diabate, assisted by A. Blanco
0-1

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Alaves vs. Barcelona: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Alaves vs. Barcelona prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Barcelona
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +200, Barcelona +125, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-169/+138)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 27.9%
  • Barcelona: 48.7%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Alaves 1-1 Barcelona, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Alaves is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 27.9% probability, while Barcelona sits at 48.7%, with the draw at 23.4%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Barcelona prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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