Miami vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Miami vs. Cincinnati at the MLS on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
Miami
5
3
May 13, 11:30PM TQL Stadium
Cincinnati
May 13, 11:30PM TQL Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
K. Denkey (pen.) (41')
Soccer ball icon
P. Bucha (49')
Soccer ball icon
Evander (64')
Soccer ball icon
L. Messi (24')
Soccer ball icon
L. Messi (55')
Soccer ball icon
M. Silvetti (79')
Soccer ball icon
G. Berterame (84')
Soccer ball icon
L. Messi (89')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CIN
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Evander (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by M. Silvetti
5-3
87'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Barlow replaces P. Bucha
87'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Lajhar replaces A. Chirila
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by G. Berterame
4-3
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by M. Silvetti, assisted by L. Messi
3-3
77'
Yellow Card
Y. Bright (Inter Miami) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: M. Silvetti replaces L. Suarez
76'
Yellow Card
O. Nwobodo (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: O. Nwobodo replaces K. Mboma
73'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Chirila replaces M. Miazga
72'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: N. Hagglund replaces M. Robinson
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Mura replaces S. Reguilon
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander, assisted by K. Denkey
2-3
60'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: E. Echenique replaces S. Gidi
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by R. de Paul
2-2
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by P. Bucha, assisted by B. J. Ramirez Leon
1-2
41'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey (pen.)
1-1
40'
Yellow Card
G. Lujan (Inter Miami) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
I. Fray (Inter Miami) cautioned
24'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi
1-0

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Miami vs. Cincinnati: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Miami vs. Cincinnati prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +110, Cincinnati +220, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-350/+260)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Miami: 44.4%
  • Cincinnati: 35.5%
  • Draw: 20.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Miami 2-1 Cincinnati, with a probability of 7%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Miami is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 44.4% probability, while Cincinnati sits at 35.5%, with the draw at 20.2%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Miami vs. Cincinnati prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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