St Louis City vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for St Louis City vs. D.C. United at the MLS on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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St Louis City
1
:
1
May 16, 11:30PM Audi Field
D.C. United
May 16, 11:30PM Audi Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
D.C. UnitedDC
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
Peglow (90')
Soccer ball icon
C. Durkin (51')
Soccer ball icon
C. Wallem (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
DC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
STL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by Peglow
1-1
90'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Mbacke replaces S. Becher
90'
Red Card
C. Wallem (St. Louis City) sent off for a second yellow card
90'
Yellow Card
K. Rowles (DC United) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: C. Antley replaces K. Kurokawa
78'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: N. Markovic replaces J. Hopkins
78'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Totland replaces Rafael Santos
70'
Yellow Card
S. Hefti (DC United) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Cordova replaces S. Jeong
63'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: E. Lowen replaces C. Teuchert
63'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: D. Edelman replaces M. Perez
62'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Stroud replaces M. Peltola
60'
Yellow Card
J. Hopkins (DC United) cautioned
59'
Yellow Card
M. Perez (St. Louis City) cautioned
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Durkin, assisted by S. Jeong
1-0
41'
Yellow Card
C. Wallem (St. Louis City) cautioned
28'
Yellow Card
F. Fall (St. Louis City) cautioned

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St Louis City vs. D.C. United: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' St Louis City vs. D.C. United prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. D.C. United
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Audi Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +240, D.C. United +115, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • St Louis City: 30.4%
  • D.C. United: 44.6%
  • Draw: 25.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is St Louis City 1-1 D.C. United, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 30.4% probability, while D.C. United sits at 44.6%, with the draw at 25.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' St Louis City vs. D.C. United prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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