Houston vs. Salt Lake Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Houston vs. Salt Lake at the MLS on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
Houston
0
3
May 14, 1:30AM America First Field
Salt Lake
May 14, 1:30AM America First Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Salt LakeRSL
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
D. Holmes (o.g.) (49')
Soccer ball icon
Z. Gozo (57')
Soccer ball icon
Z. Gozo (64')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RSL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
HOU
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Ponce replaces O. Lingr
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: A. Hezarkhani replaces Z. Gozo
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. Ennali replaces D. Holmes
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: N. Caliskan replaces S. Spierings
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: Z. Booth replaces D. Marczuk
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by Z. Gozo, assisted by S. Spierings
0-3
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: S. Solans replaces V. Olatunji
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by Z. Gozo, assisted by D. Yedlin
0-2
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Guilherme replaces N. Markanich
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by D. Holmes (o.g.)
0-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Antonio Carlos replaces A. Resch
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: M. Bogusz replaces J. McGlynn
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: D. Luna replaces M. Guilavogui
45'
Yellow Card
A. Bouzat (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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Houston vs. Salt Lake: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Houston vs. Salt Lake prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Salt Lake
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: America First Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +390, Salt Lake -133, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-180/+140)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Houston: 21.3%
  • Salt Lake: 57.2%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Houston 1-2 Salt Lake, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Houston is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.3% probability, while Salt Lake sits at 57.2%, with the draw at 21.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Houston vs. Salt Lake prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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