LAFC vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for LAFC vs. St Louis City at the MLS on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
Start your FREE 3-Day trial of Dimers Pro
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLS sport icon
MLS
LAFC
1
2
May 14, 12:30AM CITYPARK
St Louis City
May 14, 12:30AM CITYPARK
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
LAFCLAFC
T. Totland (4')
Soccer ball icon
Rafael Santos (64')
Soccer ball icon
D. Martinez (73')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
STL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LAFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: B. McSorley replaces S. Cordova
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: R. Hollingshead replaces R. Raposo
82'
Yellow Card
R. Raposo (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: N. Ordaz replaces T. Tillman
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: J. Shaffelburg replaces E. Segura
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: S. Eustaquio replaces M. Choiniere
76'
Yellow Card
S. Becher (St. Louis City) cautioned
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by D. Martinez, assisted by Nkosi Tafari
1-2
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: D. Martinez replaces T. Boyd
67'
Yellow Card
A. Long (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: F. Fall replaces E. Lowen
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by Rafael Santos
0-2
60'
Yellow Card
D. Polvara (St. Louis City) cautioned
58'
Yellow Card
E. Segura (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
T. Totland (St. Louis City) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces S. Jeong
10'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: Rafael Santos replaces J. Orozco
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by T. Totland, assisted by E. Lowen
0-1

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Swipe iconSwipe across to view more offers
logo
RECOMMENDED
Double Your Winnings on your Next 10 Wagers. Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Deposit $20, Get $20 in Trading Bonus!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
LIMITED-TIME
Register with code DIMERS150 to unlock $150 in bonus bets by winning your first $10 bet
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
FEATURED
New DraftKings Customers: Bet $5+ Get $100 in Bonus Bets Instantly!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5 Get $150 If Your Bet Wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Trade to get up to $100 in Bonuses!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
Bet $10 Get $200 Win or Lose
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get Up To $250 Back in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Loses
T&Cs apply.
How to claim

LAFC vs. St Louis City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' LAFC vs. St Louis City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: LAFC vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LAFC +145, St Louis City +180, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-149/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • LAFC: 39.8%
  • St Louis City: 35.1%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is LAFC 1-1 St Louis City, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

LAFC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 39.8% probability, while St Louis City sits at 35.1%, with the draw at 25.2%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' LAFC vs. St Louis City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.