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Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette prediction: Arkansas State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/19/2026]
Get Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette predictions for college basketball Thursday.

Men's college basketball action continues on Thursday at 8:00 PM ET as the favored Arkansas State locks horns with Louisiana-Lafayette in men's college basketball action at Cajundome.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Arkansas State as the most likely winner of the Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Arkansas State and Louisiana-Lafayette 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Arkansas State a 78% chance of beating Louisiana-Lafayette. Our predicted final score has Arkansas State winning 75-67.
According to our model, Louisiana-Lafayette (+8.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 144.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Arkansas State | Louisiana-Lafayette |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -8.5 (-110) | +8.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -425 | +365 |
| Total | o144.5 (-105) | u144.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Louisiana-Lafayette +8.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Louisiana-Lafayette | +365 |
| Total | Under 144.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 144.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball action between Louisiana-Lafayette and Arkansas State at Cajundome is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette
- Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Cajundome
Conclusion
We predict Arkansas State, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Louisiana-Lafayette on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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