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Australian Open Parlay for Day 8: Combining our best tennis bets today at +527 odds

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Written by Nick Slade
Reviewed by Dave Garofolo

Looking for an Australian Open 2026 parlay? Local expert Nick Slade locks in his top tennis picks for betting on January 24 and 25.

Australian Open 2026 tennis parlay on Day 8 featuring Carlos Alcaraz.
Our Australian Open parlay for Day 8 of the AO26 featuring Carlos Alcaraz.

Our Australian Open 2026 parlay combines the top selections from our tennis best bets section. With another massive slate of matches on Day 8, this type of volume creates excellent parlay opportunities for tennis bettors

While the public scrambles just to find an edge at Melbourne Park, us sharps have isolated four specific tennis bets where the numbers point to significant value.

For our best parlay on Day 8, we are targeting two games spread plays—as well as one games total play—all from the men's draw. By combining these edges, we have constructed a tennis parlay that turns high-confidence data into a +527 play, and our spirits are sky high after nailing our Day 2 parlay at +880 odds, our Day 3 parlay at +570 odds, and our Day 6 parlay at +1098 odds.

Here is the breakdown of the best bets we've used to craft our three-leg tennis parlay at +527 odds, with picks in order of highest probability (not time).

 

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Australian Open 2026 Parlay - Day 8

Leg 1: Carlos Alcaraz -6.5 Games (-120)

Matchup: C. Alcaraz vs. T. Paul

Time: Jan 24, 9:30pm (ET)

We open our Day 8 tennis parlay with a marquee matchup between Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul. While Paul is a dangerous opponent who thrives on athleticism, the market is asking Alcaraz to cover 6.5 games—a line that respects Paul's ability but underestimates Alcaraz's ceiling.

Our model projects Alcaraz covering this spread 63.6% of the time, creating a substantial 9.1% edge over the -120 odds.

The Reasoning: Alcaraz has the power to rush Paul in a way few others can. To cover -6.5, the Spaniard needs to secure a few breaks and likely win in straight sets or a lopsided four-setter. Given his form, the data suggests Alcaraz will create enough separation to make this one of the strongest tennis bets of the fourth round.

Tennis parlay today.

RELATED: FanDuel user hits perfect 4-leg Day 2 tennis parlay using Dimers Pro

Leg 2: Daniil Medvedev vs. L. Tien Under 39.5 Games (-122)

Matchup: D. Medvedev vs. L. Tien

Time: Jan 25, 12:00am (ET)

For the second leg, we pivot to the Total market. Daniil Medvedev faces the young American Learner Tien. The total is set at 39.5 games, implying a longer, four-or-five-set battle. However, our metrics suggest Medvedev’s defensive consistency will suffocate the youngster's offense much earlier.

We calculate a 58.9% probability of the match going Under 39.5 games, offering a 3.9% edge.

The Reasoning: Medvedev is a master at dismantling inexperienced opponents by refusing to give them free points. For this parlay today to cash, we don't necessarily need a blowout, just a clinical performance (e.g., 6-4, 6-3, 6-4 lands on 29 games). The Under is the sharp play here, betting on experience to shorten the match duration.

Leg 3: Alexander Zverev -4.5 Games (-110)

Matchup: A. Zverev vs. F. Cerundolo

Time: Jan 25, 1:00am (ET)

We close out the best parlay for Day 8 with Alexander Zverev facing Francisco Cerundolo. Zverev is favored by 4.5 games, a surprisingly low number given the surface speed in Melbourne favors the German's massive serve over Cerundolo’s clay-court pedigree.

Our simulation sees Zverev covering this line 60.5% of the time, resulting in an 8.1% edge.

The Reasoning: Cerundolo will struggle to make inroads on Zverev’s service games. If Zverev holds serve comfortably, he only needs one break in two of the sets to cover this spread. The data highlights this as a mispriced line, providing a high-value anchor for your tennis parlay.

Australian Open 2026 Parlay Today

Tennis bets for Day 8

Leg 1: Alcaraz -6.5 (-120))

Leg 2: Medvedev/Tien Under 39.5 (-122)

Leg 3: Zverev -4.5 (-110)

Parlay odds: +527

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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Dave Garofolo through our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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