Tennis bets today: 12 picks for Thursday ft. Osaka vs. Alexandrova [6/25/2026]

WTA Bad Homburg Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova ML (+152)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 43.8%
• Matchup: Naomi Osaka vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova (7:00AM ET)

Our model has identified value on Ekaterina Alexandrova to defeat Naomi Osaka at +152 odds in their matchup at WTA Bad Homburg Open. A 43.8% probability produces an edge of 6.6%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

ATP Eastbourne International: Gabriel Diallo vs. Jack Draper Under 22.5 total games (-108)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Jack Draper vs. Gabriel Diallo (9:30AM ET)

At ATP Eastbourne International, Jack Draper vs. Gabriel Diallo under 22.5 total games carries a 4.8% edge and a probability of 56.8% at -108 odds, according to our model.

ATP Eastbourne International: Jack Draper -3.5 (+105)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 53.6%
• Matchup: Jack Draper vs. Gabriel Diallo (9:30AM ET)

Jack Draper -3.5 vs. Gabriel Diallo at +105 odds shows a 4.8% edge, supported by a 53.6% probability in simulations of the ATP Eastbourne International match.

ATP Eastbourne International: Ugo Humbert -2.5 (-135)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 61.1%
• Matchup: Ugo Humbert vs. Quentin Halys (10:40AM ET)

A 3.6% edge and 61.1% probability makes Ugo Humbert -2.5 vs. Quentin Halys a value play in the Ugo Humbert vs. Quentin Halys matchup, per our model.

WTA Eastbourne International: Petra Marcinko vs. Caty McNally Over 20.5 total games (-110)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Caty McNally vs. Petra Marcinko (11:10AM ET)

Petra Marcinko vs. Caty McNally Over 20.5 total games at -110 odds presents a 2.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.3%.

ATP Mallorca Open: Fabian Marozsan vs. Miomir Kecmanovic Under 23.5 total games (-118)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 57%
• Matchup: Miomir Kecmanovic vs. Fabian Marozsan (8:30AM ET)

Our model finds value on Under 23.5 total games in Miomir Kecmanovic vs. Fabian Marozsan at -118 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 2.9%.

ATP Mallorca Open: Grigor Dimitrov ML (+156)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 42.2%
• Matchup: Grigor Dimitrov vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (11:30AM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina-Grigor Dimitrov to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +156 odds. A 42.2% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's tennis action.

WTA Eastbourne International: Madison Keys -4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Matchup: McCartney Kessler vs. Madison Keys (7:10AM ET)

A 2.8% edge on a 55.2% probability makes Madison Keys -4.5 at -110 odds a solid value play in this WTA Eastbourne International matchup.

ATP Eastbourne International: Zizou Bergs vs. Jan ChoinskiUnder 22.5 total games (-120)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 57%
• Matchup: Jan Choinski vs. Zizou Bergs (7:10AM ET)

Our model projects value on Under 22.5 total games at -120 odds. A 57% probability produces a 2.4% edge, making the Under the favorable side in today's ATP Eastbourne International matchup.

WTA Eastbourne International: Madison Keys vs. McCartney Kessler Under 21.5 total games (-130)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Matchup: McCartney Kessler vs. Madison Keys (7:10AM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, McCartney Kessler vs. Madison Keys Under 21.5 total games at -130 odds shows a 58.7% probability and a 2.2% edge.

Tennis best bets summary: Thursday, 6/25/2026

As of 2:12AM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now

• ATP Mallorca: Vit Kopriva vs. Ethan Quinn (5:00AM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Eastbourne: Zeynep Sonmez vs. Jelena Ostapenko (6:00AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Eastbourne: Juan Cerundolo vs. Toby Samuel (6:00AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Mallorca: Nuno Borges vs. Luciano Darderi (6:10AM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Bad Homburg: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Naomi Osaka (7:00AM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Eastbourne: Madison Keys vs. McCartney Kessler (7:10AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Eastbourne: Zizou Bergs vs. Jan Choinski (7:10AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Mallorca: Fabian Marozsan vs. Miomir Kecmanovic (8:30AM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Bad Homburg: Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs. Emma Navarro (9:30AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Eastbourne: Gabriel Diallo vs. Jack Draper (9:30AM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for June 25, 2026, featuring plays such as Ekaterina Alexandrova ML vs. Naomi Osaka and under 22.5 total games in the Jack Draper vs. Gabriel Diallo matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.