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Belmont vs. Murray State prediction: Tight battle projected in updated analysis for men's college basketball matchup [2/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Belmont vs Murray State predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Murray State will face Belmont, in what is expected to be a close men's college basketball game, at CFSB Center on Sunday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives an equal chance for both both teams to win the Belmont-Murray State matchup.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Belmont vs. Murray State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Belmont vs. Murray State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAA basketball matchup between Belmont and Murray State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model can't split the two teams, giving both Belmont and Murray State a 50% chance of winning the game. Our predicted score is Belmont 80-80 Murray State.
According to our model, Murray State (+1.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 166.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
While there is no way for a men's college basketball game to end in a tie, our prediction of 80-80 is based on each team's average score in the above-mentioned simulations of Belmont vs. Murray State.
Belmont vs. Murray State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Belmont | Murray State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-105) | +1.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -120 | +102 |
| Total | o166.5 (-110) | u166.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Belmont vs. Murray State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Murray State +1.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Murray State | +102 |
| Total | Under 166.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Murray State +1.5 at the spread.
Belmont vs. Murray State game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball game between Murray State and Belmont at CFSB Center is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Belmont vs. Murray State
- Date: Sunday, February 15, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: CFSB Center
Conclusion
We predict a close game between Belmont and Murray State on Sunday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Belmont vs. Murray State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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