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Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Sebastian Baez prediction, odds, picks for ATP Argentina Open (Abierto Argentino) 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Ugo Carabelli vs Baez predictions for ATP Argentina Open (Abierto Argentino).
Camilo Ugo Carabelli will square off with Sebastian Baez in the quarterfinals at the ATP Buenos Aires event on Friday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Sebastian Baez as the most likely winner of the Ugo Carabelli vs. Baez match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Ugo Carabelli vs. Baez prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Ugo Carabelli-Baez men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Baez a 60% chance of winning against Ugo Carabelli at the ATP Argentina Open (Abierto Argentino) tournament.
Additionally, Baez has a 57% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Ugo Carabelli (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Sebastian Baez odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ugo Carabelli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +164 | -188 |
| First Set | +130 | -164 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-126) | -3.5 (-108) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-135) | u21.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ugo Carabelli vs. Baez picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ugo Carabelli | +164 |
| First Set | Baez | -135 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is *Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win.
Ugo Carabelli vs. Baez updates and essential details
The ATP Argentina Open (Abierto Argentino) match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Sebastian Baez is scheduled to start on Friday at 4:30 PM ET.
- Who: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Sebastian Baez
- Date: Friday, February 13, 2026
- Approx. Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Buenos Aires, Argentina Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Quarterfinals
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Sebastian Baez, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Camilo Ugo Carabelli at the ATP Argentina Open (Abierto Argentino) tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ugo Carabelli vs. Baez insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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