Canada vs. South Africa match preview presented by PROLINE+

The World Cup Round of 32 kicks off today and Dimers' experts have calculated the updated win probabilities and edges for the matchup between Canada and South Africa at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, June 28.

Both Canada and South Africa make history on Sunday as two nations playing in their first-ever World Cup knockout match meet at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles.

Canada finished second behind Switzerland in Group B after drawing with Bosnia and Herzegovina, beating Qatar 6-0, and losing to the Swiss in their final group game.

In partnership with PROLINE+, Dimers Pro users have access to expert analysis for Canada's next match to detail the latest probabilities and best bets, and have a complete look at the official player list for the Canadian side.

The New PROLINE App has more sports, more markets and more ways to same game parlay. 

Canada's playing squad for the Tournament

Here is the confirmed roster for Canada:

Canada

Goalkeepers: Dayne St. Clair (Inter Miami), Maxime Crépeau (Orlando City), Owen Goodman (Barnsley)

Defenders: Moïse Bombito (Nice), Derek Cornelius (Rangers), Alphonso Davies (Bayern Munich), Luc De Fougerolles (FCV Dender), Alistair Johnston (Celtic), Alfie Jones (Middlesbrough), Richie Laryea (Toronto FC), Niko Sigur (Hajduk Split), Joel Waterman (Chicago Fire)

Midfielders: Ali Ahmed (Norwich City), Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal), Mathieu Choinière (LAFC), Stephen Eustáquio (LAFC), Marcelo Flores (Tigres UANL), Ismaël Koné (Sassuolo), Liam Millar (Hull City), Jonathan Osorio (Toronto FC), Nathan Saliba (Anderlecht), Jacob Shaffelburg (LAFC)

Forwards: Jonathan David (Juventus), Promise David (Royale-Union Saint Gilloise), Cyle Larin (Southampton), Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

Manager: Jesse Marsch

Injury notes: Ismaël Koné has been ruled out of the tournament after suffering a broken leg in the Qatar match.

Canada vs. South Africa predictions and picks including the most likely exact score

Leveraging our updated data and the confirmed list of players, we have run the calculations for this fixture. Here are the latest insights:

• Win probabilities: Canada 55.4 %, South Africa 18.6%, Draw 26.0%
• Both teams to score: Yes 41.2%, No 58.8%
• Total goals (2.5): Over 39.4%, Under 60.6%
• Win to nil: Canada 17.4%, South Africa 22.3%
• Double chance (win or draw): Canada 81.4%, South Africa 44.6%
• Most likely final score: 1-0 Canada (15.7%)

These projections represent the highest probability outcomes based on the projected team sheets for Canada and South Africa.

Canada vs. South Africa picks and best bet

The Dimers model projects a Canada victory with a controlled defensive game, signaling Both Teams to Score: No as our best value bet.

The Under 2.5 also has strong support, with 60.6% of simulations ending with two or fewer goals, aligning with the odds as a reasonable lean for bettors who prefer total goals markets.

Dimers will be providing best bets all tournament long, with the early edge on this game being on Both Teams to Score.

As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge on Canada's odds also provides the best value for bettors.

Why use PROLINE+ when betting on Canada vs. South Africa

If you're backing our Canada ML pick, PROLINE+ is our recommended Canadian sportsbook, with 100% of proceeds reinvested directly back into Ontario.

Canada vs. South Africa World Cup details

The FIFA World Cup matchup between Canada and South Africa is scheduled for June 29, 2026.

• Teams: Canada vs. South Africa
• Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• Venue: SoFi Stadium
• Tournament odds: Who will win the World Cup?

Conclusion: Canada vs. South Africa prediction

Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that Canada to win is the most likely outcome, followed by a 90-minute draw, with a loss as the least likely result.

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