Chattanooga vs. Mercer prediction: Why Mercer is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/19/2026]

Mercer will face Chattanooga in men's college basketball action at Hawkins Arena on Thursday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Mercer as the most likely winner of the Chattanooga vs. Mercer game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Chattanooga vs. Mercer prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Chattanooga and Mercer 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Mercer an 81% chance of beating Chattanooga. Our predicted final score has Mercer winning 81-72.

According to our model, Mercer (-5.5) has a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 152.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.

Chattanooga vs. Mercer odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Chattanooga vs. Mercer picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: