Jun 23, 2026
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Read Article Cubs vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [6/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Tuesday.
The New York Mets will face the Chicago Cubs, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Citi Field on Tuesday, beginning at 7:10 PM ET.
Kodai Senga (0-5, 9.00 ERA) will get the ball for the Mets, up against Edward Cabrera (4-4, 5.21 ERA) for the Cubs.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 52.9% win probability over the Cubs.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's Cubs vs. Mets matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cubs vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mets a 52.9% chance of beating the Cubs.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 64.5% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 50.3% chance of going over,.
Cubs vs. Mets odds [6/23/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cubs | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+168) | +1.5 (-190) |
| Moneyline | -102 | -114 |
| Total | o8.5 (-105) | u8.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cubs vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -190 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -114 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cubs vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB action between the Mets and Cubs at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
- Date: Tuesday, June 23, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 52.9% win probability, will likely beat the Cubs in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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