Denis Shapovalov vs. Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, odds, picks for Wimbledon 2026
Get Shapovalov vs Carreno Busta predictions for Wimbledon 2026.
Denis Shapovalov and Pablo Carreno Busta are scheduled to meet in the first round of Wimbledon 2026 on Monday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Denis Shapovalov as the most likely winner of the Shapovalov vs. Carreno Busta match.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Shapovalov vs. Carreno Busta prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Our famous predictive model gives Shapovalov a 76% chance of defeating Carreno Busta at Wimbledon 2026.
Denis Shapovalov vs. Pablo Carreno Busta odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Shapovalov | Carreno Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -345 | +270 |
| Game Spread | -5.5 (-108) | +5.5 (-124) |
| Total Games | o37.5 (-116) | u37.5 (-116) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Shapovalov vs. Carreno Busta picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Carreno Busta | +270 |
| First Set | Carreno Busta | -116 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Pablo Carreno Busta to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Shapovalov vs. Carreno Busta updates and essential details
The Wimbledon 2026 match between Denis Shapovalov and Pablo Carreno Busta is scheduled to begin on Monday at 6:00 AM ET.
- Who: Denis Shapovalov vs. Pablo Carreno Busta
- Date: Monday, June 29, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:00 AM ET/3:00AM PT
- Tournament: Wimbledon Men's Singles 2026
- Round: First round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Denis Shapovalov, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Pablo Carreno Busta at Wimbledon 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
