Illinois State vs. Illinois-Chicago prediction: Why Illinois-Chicago is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/15/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Sunday at 3:00 PM ET as Illinois State takes on Illinois-Chicago in men's college basketball action at Credit Union 1 Arena.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model gives Illinois-Chicago a slight edge with a 53% win probability over Illinois State.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's Illinois State vs. Illinois-Chicago matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Illinois State vs. Illinois-Chicago prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAA basketball matchup between Illinois State and Illinois-Chicago 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Illinois-Chicago a 53% chance of beating Illinois State. Our predicted final score has Illinois-Chicago winning 71-70.

According to our model, Illinois-Chicago (+1.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 140.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.

Illinois State vs. Illinois-Chicago odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Illinois State vs. Illinois-Chicago picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Illinois-Chicago to win.

Illinois State vs. Illinois-Chicago game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's men's college basketball game between Illinois-Chicago and Illinois State at Credit Union 1 Arena is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Illinois State vs. Illinois-Chicago
• Date: Sunday, February 15, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Credit Union 1 Arena

Conclusion

We predict Illinois-Chicago, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat Illinois State on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Illinois State vs. Illinois-Chicago insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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