Aces vs. Sky prediction: Why Las Vegas is favored to win Sunday's WNBA game [6/28/2026]
Get Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky predictions for WNBA Sunday.
The Chicago Sky will square off with the favored Las Vegas Aces in WNBA action at United Center on Sunday, starting at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Aces as the most likely winner of the Aces vs. Sky game.
The Sky, with star players such as Skylar Diggins-Smith, Kamilla Cardoso and Natasha Cloud, will face off against the Aces, whose lineup includes A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chennedy Carter.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Aces vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Aces a 69.4% chance of defeating the Sky.
According to our model, the Sky (+6.5) have a 56.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 181.5 points has a 68.5% chance of staying under,.
Aces vs. Sky odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Aces | Sky |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-125) | +6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -300 | +245 |
| Total | o181.5 (-108) | u181.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aces vs. Sky picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sky +6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Sky | +245 |
| Total | Under 181.5 | -112 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 181.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Aces vs. Sky player props
WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Sunday's Las Vegas vs. Chicago game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at United Center.
A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 29 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists, while Skylar Diggins-Smith is projected to have 16 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Sky.
For early game action, the data identifies Chennedy Carter as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Aces prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 29 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 58 |
| Jackie Young | 17 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 38 |
| Chennedy Carter | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 27 |
| Chelsea Gray | 12 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 34 |
| Jewell Loyd | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
Sky prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Diggins-Smith | 16 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 34 |
| Natasha Cloud | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| Azura Stevens | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| Gabriela Jaquez | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
Aces vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Sky and Aces at United Center is scheduled to start at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky
- Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: United Center
Conclusion
We predict the Aces, with a 69.4% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
