Men's college basketball picks today: Saturday's best bets include Texas Tech vs. Arizona play [2/14/2026]

Arizona -8.5 (-115)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 61.6%
• Matchup: Texas Tech vs. Arizona (6:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on Arizona -8.5 at -115 odds. A 61.6% probability produces an edge of 8.1%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Montana State vs. Montana over 144.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Matchup: Montana State vs. Montana (9:00PM ET, Saturday)

Montana State vs. Montana over 144.5 points carries a 6.6% edge and a probability of 57.8% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Santa Clara +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Gonzaga vs. Santa Clara (10:30PM ET, Saturday)

Santa Clara +4.5 vs. Gonzaga at -110 odds shows a 6.1% edge, supported by a 58.4% probability in simulations.

Seton Hall vs. Butler over 142.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Matchup: Seton Hall vs. Butler (6:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 6.0% edge and 57.2% probability make Seton Hall vs. Butler over 142.5 points at a value play in the Seton Hall vs. Butler matchup, per our model.

Illinois -10.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 58.1%
• Matchup: Indiana vs. Illinois (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Illinois -10.5 at -110 odds presents a 5.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.1%.

UC Riverside vs. UC San Diego over 145.5 points (-106)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: UC Riverside vs. UC San Diego (10:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on over 145.5 points in UC Riverside vs. UC San Diego at -106 odds, supported by an edge of 5.4%.

Mississippi State +3.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss (6:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has uncovered value on Mississippi State +3.5 at -102 odds. A 55.8% probability produces a 5.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Minnesota vs. Washington over 138.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Matchup: Minnesota vs. Washington (9:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 5.3% edge on a 57.2% probability makes over 138.5 points at -108 odds a solid value play in today's Minnesota vs. Washington matchup.

Saint Mary's vs. Pacific over 135.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Saint Mary's vs. Pacific (10:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model projects value on over 135.5 points at -105 odds. A 56% probability produces a 4.8% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Merrimack vs. Quinnipiac over 139.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Merrimack vs. Quinnipiac over 139.5 points at -108 odds shows a 56.3% probability and a 4.4% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Saturday, 2/14/2026

As of 6:06PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Texas Tech vs. Arizona	Arizona -8.5	-115 @ BetMGM	8.1%	61.6%
Montana State vs. Montana	Over 144.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	6.6%	57.8%
Gonzaga vs. Santa Clara	Santa Clara +4.5	-110 @ DraftKings	6.1%	58.4%
Seton Hall vs. Butler	Over 142.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	6.0%	57.2%
Indiana vs. Illinois	Illinois -10.5	-110 @ FanDuel	5.8%	58.1%
UC Riverside vs. UC San Diego	Over 145.5 Points	-106 @ FanDuel	5.4%	56.9%
Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss	Mississippi State +3.5	-102 @ FanDuel	5.3%	55.8%
Minnesota vs. Washington	Over 138.5 Points	-108 @ DraftKings	5.3%	57.2%
Saint Mary's vs. Pacific	Over 135.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	4.8%	56%
Merrimack vs. Quinnipiac	Over 139.5 Points	-108 @ DraftKings	4.4%	56.3%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Texas Tech vs. Arizona (6:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss (6:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Yale vs. Harvard (6:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Tulsa vs. Wichita State (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
• UC Santa Barbara vs. Cal Poly (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Georgetown vs. Connecticut (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Virginia vs. Ohio State (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Memphis vs. Utah State (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
• South Dakota State vs. Oral Roberts (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for February 14, 2026, featuring plays such as Arizona -8.5 and over 144.5 points in the Montana State vs. Montana matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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