Free MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB Wild Card best bets include two over/under plays [10/2/2025]

Today’s free MLB picks for October 2, 2025 are here, with Thursday’s MLBWild Card best bets built on thousands of data simulations analyzing the latest odds and matchups.

These MLB best bets include matchups like Padres vs. Cubs and Red Sox vs. Yankees, with this article updated throughout the day to feature the highest-probability plays based on thousands of data-driven simulations from our predictive analytics model.

But if you're serious about long-term profit, it's not just about probability—it's about edge. To unlock our highest-edge MLB bets—the ones with true long-term value—join Dimers Pro.

Pro members get unlimited access to everything Dimers has to offer on Thursday, October 2, 2025, including our complete suite of picks and best bets for today and the week ahead.

List of MLB best bets today [Wild Card 10/2, updated 5:03PM ET]

After diving deep into the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations, our famous predictive analytics model has identified the best baseball bets for Thursday, October 2, 2025.

Padres vs. Cubs over 7.5 runs (-110)

• Probability: 63.5%
• Edge: 11.1%
• Matchup: Padres vs. Cubs (5:08PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has pinpointed a high-probability MLB betting opportunity today, which comes in the Padres vs. Cubs game. We recommend an over/under bet on over 7.5 runs at -110 odds, with our analysis showing a 63.5% chance of hitting and a compelling edge of 11.1%.

Red Sox vs. Yankees over 7.5 runs (+102)

• Probability: 61.9%
• Edge: 12.4%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Yankees (8:08PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has found another strong MLB playoffs bet for Thursday's baseball action, this time in the matchup between the Red Sox and Yankees. We suggest placing an over/under wager on over 7.5 runs at +102 odds, with a 61.9% probability delivering a 12.4% edge.

MLB Wild Card best bets: Thursday, 10/2/2025

As of 5:03PM ET, here are our top two MLB bets by probability recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Probability	Edge
Padres vs. Cubs	Over 7.5 Runs	-110 @ BetMGM	63.5%	11.1%
Red Sox vs. Yankees	Over 7.5 Runs	+102 @ DraftKings	61.9%	12.4%

Dimers Pro unlocks instant access to the most valuable bets across all sports, powered by our advanced predictive model.

Today, Dimers Pro subscribers have access to two MLB picks—with access to all of these being what makes a difference over time.

Join Dimers Pro now to access these picks, as well as a comprehensive range of props, trends and parlays for October 2, 2025.

List of upcoming MLB postseason games to bet on [10/2/2025]

• Padres vs. Cubs (5:08PM ET, Thursday)
• Red Sox vs. Yankees (8:08PM ET, Thursday)

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More about MLB

The bets on this page form part of our MLB player props and MLB best bets series.

For more MLB betting content, we have MLB trends for every game, as well as daily MLB betting news and the latest World Series odds and predictions.

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for October 2, 2025, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Padres vs. Cubs matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate MLB insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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