MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Rangers vs. Guardians play [6/29/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get MLB picks today and best bets for Monday, June 29, 2026.

MLB Best Bets.
These MLB betting picks for June 29, 2026, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Monday's games.

Today’s MLB picks for June 29, 2026 are here, with Rangers vs. Guardians and Giants vs. Diamondbacks among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s MLB schedule.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest baseball odds to unearth genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of MLB best bets today [6/29, updated 5:12AM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Monday, June 29, 2026.

Rangers vs. Guardians Over 7.5 runs (+102)

Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Rangers vs. Guardians at +102 odds. A 56.2% probability produces an edge of 6.7%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

 

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (-120)

Giants vs. Diamondbacks over 8.5 runs carries a 5.1% edge and a probability of 59.6% at -120 odds, according to our model.

 

Nationals vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs (+102)

Nationals vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs at +102 odds shows a 5.0% edge, supported by a 54.5% probability in simulations.

 

White Sox vs. Orioles over 9.5 runs (+120)

A 4.9% edge and 50.4% probability make White Sox vs. Orioles over 9.5 runs a value play in the White Sox vs. Orioles matchup, per our model.

 

Mets vs. Blue Jays Over 8.5 runs (+111)

Mets vs. Blue Jays Over 8.5 runs at +111 odds presents a 4.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 52.1%.

 

Tigers vs. Yankees Over 7.5 runs (-106)

Our model finds value on Over 7.5 runs in Tigers vs. Yankees at -106 odds, supported by an edge of 4.4%.

 

Angels vs. Mariners Over 7.5 runs (-102)

Our model has uncovered value on Angels vs. Mariners Over 7.5 runs at -102 odds. A 54.3% probability produces a 3.8% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

 

Dodgers -1.5 (+147)

A 3.8% edge on a 44.3% probability makes Dodgers -1.5 at +147 odds a solid value play in today's Dodgers vs. Athletics matchup.

 

Pirates vs. PhilliesOver 8.5 runs (+102)

Our model projects value on Over 8.5 runs at +102 odds. A 53.2% probability produces a 3.7% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.

 

Orioles -1.5 (+160)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Orioles -1.5 at +160 odds shows a 41.5% probability and a 3.0% edge.

 

MLB best bets summary: Monday, 6/29/2026

As of 5:12AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Probability
Rangers vs. Guardians Over 7.5 runs +102 @ Kalshi 6.7% 56.2%
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs -120 @ Kalshi 5.1% 59.6%
Nationals vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 Runs +102 @ Kalshi 5.0% 54.5%
White Sox vs. Orioles Over 9.5 runs +120 @ Novig 4.9% 50.4%
Mets vs. Blue Jays Over 8.5 Runs +111 @ Kalshi 4.6% 52.1%
Tigers vs. Yankees Over 7.5 Runs -106 @ Kalshi 4.4% 55.9%
Angels vs. Mariners Over 7.5 Runs -102 @ Kalshi 3.8% 54.3%
Dodgers vs. Athletics Dodgers -1.5 +147 @ Kalshi 3.8% 44.3%
Pirates vs. Phillies Over 8.5 Runs +102 @ Kalshi 3.7% 53.2%
White Sox vs. Orioles Orioles -1.5 +160 @ Kalshi 3.0% 41.5%
 

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [6/29/2026]

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for June 29, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Rangers vs. Guardians matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Giants vs. Diamondbacks matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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