Marlins vs. Cardinals prediction: St. Louis favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [6/28/2026]
Get Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals predictions for MLB Sunday.
The St. Louis Cardinals will take on the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Busch Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 2:15 PM ET.
The Cardinals will have Kyle Leahy (5-4, 4.24 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against Tyler Phillips (1-2, 3.09 ERA) for the Marlins.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Cardinals as the most likely winner of the Marlins vs. Cardinals game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Marlins vs. Cardinals prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Cardinals a 55.1% chance of beating the Marlins.
According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 61.4% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 52.4% chance of staying under,.
Marlins vs. Cardinals odds [6/28/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Marlins | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-187) | -1.5 (+155) |
| Moneyline | +114 | -130 |
| Total | o9.5 (+102) | u9.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Marlins vs. Cardinals picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Cardinals -1.5 | +155 |
| Moneyline | Cardinals | -130 |
| Total | Under 9.5 | -118 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Cardinals -1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Marlins vs. Cardinals game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Cardinals and Marlins at Busch Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:15 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
- Time: 2:15 PM ET/11:15AM PT
- Venue: Busch Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Cardinals, with a 55.1% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
