MLB picks today: Sunday's MLB best bets include Phillies vs. Mets play [6/28/2026]
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Sunday, June 28, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for June 28, 2026 are here, with Phillies vs. Mets among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s MLB action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest baseball odds to find top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [6/28, updated 5:46AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, June 28, 2026.
Mets +1.5 (-120)
- Edge: 6.9%
- Probability: 61.4%
- Matchup: Phillies vs. Mets (1:40PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Mets +1.5 at -120 odds. A 61.4% probability produces an edge of 6.9%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Mets ML (+135)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 48.8%
- Matchup: Phillies vs. Mets (1:40PM ET)
Mets ML carries a 6.3% edge and a probability of 48.8% at +135 odds, according to our model.
Rockies vs. Twins Over 9.5 runs (+125)
- Edge: 6.2%
- Probability: 50.7%
- Matchup: Rockies vs. Twins (2:10PM ET)
Rockies vs. Twins Over 9.5 runs at +125 odds shows a 6.2% edge, supported by a 50.7% probability in simulations.
Mariners ML (+102)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 54.3%
- Matchup: Mariners vs. Guardians (1:40PM ET)
A 4.8% edge and 54.3% probability makes Mariners at the moneyline a value play in the Mariners vs. Guardians matchup, per our model.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs (+127)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 48.8%
- Matchup: Yankees vs. Red Sox (7:20PM ET)
Yankees vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs at +127 odds presents a 4.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 48.8%.
Diamondbacks +1.5 (-125)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 59.8%
- Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Rays (1:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Diamondbacks +1.5 at -125 odds, supported by an edge of 4.3%.
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Over 8.5 runs (+102)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 53.7%
- Matchup: Rangers vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Rangers vs. Blue Jays Over 8.5 runs at +102 odds. A 53.7% probability produces a 4.2% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Nationals vs. Orioles Over 9.5 runs (+135)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 46.7%
- Matchup: Nationals vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET)
A 4.2% edge on a 46.7% probability makes Over 9.5 runs at +135 odds a solid value play in today's Nationals vs. Orioles matchup.
Diamondbacks ML (+174)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 40.7%
- Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Rays (1:40PM ET)
Our model projects value on Diamondbacks to win at +174 odds. A 40.7% probability produces a 4.1% edge, making Diamondbacks the favorable ML play in today's matchup.
Athletics vs. Angels Over 9.5 runs (-102)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 54.5%
- Matchup: Athletics vs. Angels (3:15PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Athletics vs. Angels Over 9.5 runs at -102 odds shows a 54.5% probability and a 4.0% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Sunday, 6/28/2026
As of 5:46AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies vs. Mets | Mets +1.5 | -120 @ Kalshi | 6.9% | 61.4% |
| Phillies vs. Mets | Mets ML | +135 @ Kalshi | 6.3% | 48.8% |
| Rockies vs. Twins | Over 9.5 Runs | +125 @ Polymarket | 6.2% | 50.7% |
| Mariners vs. Guardians | Mariners ML | +102 @ Kalshi | 4.8% | 54.3% |
| Yankees vs. Red Sox | Over 8.5 Runs | +127 @ Polymarket | 4.8% | 48.8% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Rays | Diamondbacks +1.5 | -125 @ Kalshi | 4.3% | 59.8% |
| Rangers vs. Blue Jays | Over 8.5 Runs | +102 @ Kalshi | 4.2% | 53.7% |
| Nationals vs. Orioles | Over 9.5 Runs | +135 @ Polymarket | 4.2% | 46.7% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Rays | Diamondbacks ML | +174 @ Kalshi | 4.1% | 40.7% |
| Athletics vs. Angels | Over 9.5 Runs | -102 @ Polymarket | 4.0% | 54.5% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [6/28/2026]
- Reds vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
- Nationals vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
- Rangers vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET, Sunday)
- Astros vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Mariners vs. Guardians (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- D-Backs vs. Rays (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Phillies vs. Mets (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Royals vs. White Sox (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Rockies vs. Twins (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Cubs vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Marlins vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET, Sunday)
- Athletics vs. Angels (3:15PM ET, Sunday)
- Braves vs. Giants (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
- Dodgers vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Yankees vs. Red Sox (7:20PM ET, Sunday)
See How Dimers Pro Enhances Your Best Bets
Unlock the full power of our best bets with Dimers Pro. Watch this explainer video to see how it can elevate your betting game.
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for June 28, 2026, featuring plays such as Mets +1.5 vs. Phillies and Mets ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
