May 15, 2026
Royals vs. Cardinals prediction: St. Louis favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [5/15/2026]
Read Article Home run predictions for Friday include Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Tucker [5/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, May 15, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Friday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for May 15, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one long-shot pick the model rates as value at +610.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 27.3% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 24.6% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 22.9% |
| Brent Rooker (Athletics) | 21.5% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 20.6% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 20.0% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 19.8% |
| Corbin Carroll (Diamondbacks) | 19.6% |
| Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) | 19.5% |
| Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks) | 19.4% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 27.3% chance to go deep, followed by Nick Kurtz (24.6%) and Shea Langeliers (22.9%).
Brent Rooker and Kyle Tucker are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Friday's home run picks [5/15/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro highlights today’s top home run prop.
Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 19.5%
- Odds: +610
- Edge: 5.4%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Angels (9:38 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Jack Kochanowicz
Ranked among today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Teoscar Hernandez rates as a value play at +610 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 5.4% edge.
Against Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz, the data supports Hernandez as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 23 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For May 15, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Nick Kurtz and Shea Langeliers projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Teoscar Hernandez who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 5.4% edge at +610 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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