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Nevada vs. San Diego State prediction: San Diego State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/14/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Nevada vs San Diego State predictions for college basketball Saturday.

Nevada-San Diego State Predictions and Game Preview.
Nevada vs. San Diego State men's college basketball prediction for Saturday, February 14, 2026.

Men's college basketball action continues on Saturday at 10:00 PM ET as Nevada faces off with the favored San Diego State in men's college basketball action at Viejas Arena.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts San Diego State as the most likely winner of the Nevada vs. San Diego State game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Nevada vs. San Diego State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Nevada and San Diego State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives San Diego State a 79% chance of defeating Nevada. Our predicted final score has San Diego State winning 73-65.

According to our model, Nevada (+7.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 139.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

 

Nevada vs. San Diego State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Nevada San Diego State
Spread +7.5 (-102) -7.5 (-118)
Moneyline +350 -400
Total o139.5 (-110) u139.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Nevada vs. San Diego State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Nevada +7.5 -102
Moneyline Nevada +350
Total Under 139.5 -105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Nevada +7.5 at the spread.

 

Nevada vs. San Diego State game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between San Diego State and Nevada at Viejas Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Nevada vs. San Diego State
  • Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
  • Venue: Viejas Arena

Conclusion

We predict San Diego State, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat Nevada on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nevada vs. San Diego State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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